The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 45.8%
Draw 27.9%
Lincoln City 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
27.7%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
28.1%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.
Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lincoln City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lincoln City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
6.7%
13.3%
Cardiff City - Lincoln City Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Lincoln will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 59.8% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 2. Fish W. 4. Osho G. 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 18. Robertson A. 8. Kellyman O. 27. Colwill J. 11. Tanner O. 10. Colwill R. (C)
1. Wickens G. (G) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 6. Towler R. 2. Darikwa T. (C) 24. Varfolomeev I. 14. McGrandles C. 3. Reach A. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 18. House B. 17. Street R.
Substitutes
45. Ashford C. 12. Chambers C. 48. Lawlor D. 47. Robinson C. 23. Scanlon C. 14. Turnbull D. 16. Willock C.
8. Bayliss T. 25. Elerewe D. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 19. Lloyd A. 10. Moylan J. 20. One R.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.
Skubala M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', House B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Street R. ⚽, House B. (A),
60', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
67', Kellyman O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
67', Colwill J. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
67', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Jefferies D. ⚽, McGrandles C. (A),
76', Osho G. ↓, Lawlor D. ↑,
76', Tanner O. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
81', Street R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
81', House B. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
90', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
90+5', Wickens G. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Cardiff is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lincoln is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Inactive)
Salech Y.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Lincoln: Draper F.
(Inactive)
Honohan J.
(Injury)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Cardiff City - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.52%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.