The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 26.4%
Draw 27.4%
Lincoln City 46.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
27.7%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
26.9%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Mansfield Town - Lincoln City Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Lincoln will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 7. Akins L. 25. Reed L. (C) 8. Lewis A. 3. McLaughlin S. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 11. Evans W. 18. Oates R.
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 14. McGrandles C. 24. Varfolomeev I. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 10. Moylan J. 18. House B. 17. Street R.
Substitutes
40. Abbott G. 19. Adeboyejo V. 27. Bolton L. 4. Hewitt E. 44. Irow O. 29. Roberts T. 13. Russell J.
8. Bayliss T. 25. Elerewe D. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 19. Lloyd A. 20. One R. 6. Towler R.
Coaches
Clough N.
Skubala M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Knoyle K. 🟨,
38', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Street R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Knoyle K. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
46', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
65', Evans W. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
71', Moylan J. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
71', House B. ↓, One R. ↑,
71', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
77', Darikwa T. 🟨,
78', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
79', Lewis A. ↓, Abbott G. ↑,
82', Bradley S. 🟨,
86', Street R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
87', McLaughlin S. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Bayliss T. ⚽, Jefferies D. (A),
90+6', Reed L. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 0.
Mansfield has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lincoln is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Lincoln is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Mansfield: Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Cargill B.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Sweeney R.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Mansfield: Abbott G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Lincoln: Honohan J.
(Injury)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).
Outrights of English League One for now
Mansfield: 1.24%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Mansfield
8
3
2
3
12:14
-2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Mansfield Town - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.58%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Lincoln City - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Roberts L. (G) 
Akins L. 
Lewis A. 
McLaughlin S. 
Moriah-Welsh N. 
Darikwa T. (C) 
McGrandles C. 
Varfolomeev I. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Adeboyejo V. 
Russell J. 
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