Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 41

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: John Smith's Stadium (Huddersfield)

Referee: Linington J. (Eng)


	Huddersfield Town		Millwall

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.9
	2.55	3.1	2.95
	2.61	3.14	2.85	Watch
	2.69	3.11	2.95
	2.69	3.11	2.95
	2.5	3.1	2.88
	2.59	3.18	2.83	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.23)	3.1 ↓ (3.18)	2.91 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huddersfield Town
36.6%

Draw
30.7%

Millwall
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.9%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

29.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huddersfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huddersfield Town's form might have worsened.

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millwall's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huddersfield Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huddersfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	64.3%	7.1%

Huddersfield Town - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Huddersfield will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Millwall will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nicholls L. (G) 17. Spencer B. 4. Pearson M. 5. Helik M. (C) 30. Jackson B. 14. Thomas S. 18. Kasumu D. 21. Matos A. 10. Koroma J. 7. Burgzorg D. 9. Radulovic B.	20. Sarkic M. (G) 18. Leonard R. 6. Tanganga J. 5. Cooper J. (C) 2. McNamara D. 11. Longman R. 8. Mitchell B. 23. Saville G. 39. Honeyman G. 10. Flemming Z. 21. Obafemi M.
Substitutes
16. Edwards T. 15. Headley J. 44. Healey R. 39. Iorpenda T. 26. Jones P. 12. Maxwell Ch. (G) 20. Turton O. 25. Ward D. 23. Wiles B.	33. Bialkowski B. (G) 14. Campbell A. 24. De Norre C. 22. Emakhu A. 25. Esse R. 45. Harding W. 4. Hutchinson S. 12. Mayor A. 17. Norton-Cuffy B.
Coaches
Breitenreiter A.	Harris N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Jackson B. 🟨,
41', Leonard R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jackson B. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
59', Saville G. 🟨,
61', Thomas S. 🟨,
61', Mitchell B. 🟨,
62', Radulovic B. ↓, Healey R. ↑,
69', Obafemi M. ↓, Norton-Cuffy B. ↑,
69', Mitchell B. ↓, De Norre C. ↑,
71', Koroma J. ↓, Ward D. ↑,
81', Spencer B. ↓, Edwards T. ↑,
81', Matos A. ↓, Wiles B. ↑,
90+2', McNamara D. 🟨,
90+2', Edwards T. 🟨,
90+3', Longman R. ↓, Hutchinson S. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Healey R. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', Tanganga J. ↓, Mayor A. ↑,
90+6', McNamara D. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
90+7', Nicholls L. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huddersfield won 3.

Huddersfield is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Millwall is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Huddersfield won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Huddersfield won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huddersfield Town
English League Championship
01.04.24	Stoke City - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Huddersfield Town - Coventry City	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Rotherham United - Huddersfield Town	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Huddersfield Town - West Bromwich Albion	1:4 ✺
06.03.24	Cardiff City - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL
- Millwall
English League Championship
01.04.24	Rotherham United - Millwall	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Millwall - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Leeds United - Millwall	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Millwall - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
05.03.24	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
16.12.23	Millwall - Huddersfield Town	1:1
18.03.23	Millwall - Huddersfield Town	0:1
29.10.22	Huddersfield Town - Millwall	1:0
16.03.22	Millwall - Huddersfield Town	2:0
30.10.21	Huddersfield Town - Millwall	1:0
20.01.21	Huddersfield Town - Millwall	0:1
31.10.20	Millwall - Huddersfield Town	0:3

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