Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 40

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)


	Stoke City		Huddersfield Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.4
	2.08	3.45	3.55	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.74
	2.15	3.33	3.74
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.09	3.48	3.51	Watch
	2.1	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2)	3.39 ↓ (3.51)	3.58 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
45.3%

Draw
28.1%

Huddersfield Town
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.9%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Huddersfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huddersfield Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	61.5%	23.1%

Stoke City - Huddersfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Huddersfield will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iversen D. (G) 17. Hoever K. 23. McNally L. 5. Rose M. 27. Leris M. 6. Burger W. 8. Baker L. 15. Thompson J. 28. Laurent J. (C) 14. Ennis N. 22. Bae Joon-Ho	1. Nicholls L. (G) 4. Pearson M. 5. Helik M. (C) 17. Spencer B. 14. Thomas S. 21. Matos A. 18. Kasumu D. 8. Rudoni J. 15. Headley J. 26. Jones P. 9. Radulovic B.
Substitutes
13. Bonham J. (G) 10. Campbell T. 25. Cundle L. 20. Haksabanovic S. 42. Manhoef M. 19. Mmaee R. 3. Stevens E. 7. Vidigal A. 16. Wilmot B.	7. Burgzorg D. 38. Daley L. 11. Diarra B. 44. Healey R. 39. Iorpenda T. 30. Jackson B. 10. Koroma J. 12. Maxwell Ch. (G) 23. Wiles B.
Coaches
Schumacher S.	Breitenreiter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Leris M. 🟨,
40', Matos A. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Radulovic B. ⚽, Headley J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Baker L. ↓, Haksabanovic S. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Hoever K. ⚽, Thompson J. (A),
52', McNally L. 🟨,
56', Leris M. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
56', Ennis N. ↓, Mmaee R. ↑,
58', Jones P. ↓, Healey R. ↑,
59', Radulovic B. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
66', Haksabanovic S. 🟨,
74', Headley J. ↓, Jackson B. ↑,
74', Rudoni J. ↓, Wiles B. ↑,
87', Burger W. ↓, Stevens E. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2.

Recent matches Stoke is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Huddersfield is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stoke will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Stoke won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
29.03.24	Hull City - Stoke City	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Stoke City - Norwich City	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Preston North End - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Leeds United - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWLW
- Huddersfield Town
English League Championship
29.03.24	Huddersfield Town - Coventry City	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Rotherham United - Huddersfield Town	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Huddersfield Town - West Bromwich Albion	1:4 ✺
06.03.24	Cardiff City - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Huddersfield Town - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.09.23	Huddersfield Town - Stoke City	2:2
15.02.23	Stoke City - Huddersfield Town	3:0
13.08.22	Huddersfield Town - Stoke City	3:1
28.01.22	Huddersfield Town - Stoke City	1:1
11.09.21	Stoke City - Huddersfield Town	2:1
30.01.21	Huddersfield Town - Stoke City	1:1
21.11.20	Stoke City - Huddersfield Town	4:3

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