Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 37

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Leeds United		Millwall

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	12	Watch
	1.27	5.5	12
	1.23	5.84	14.21	Watch
	1.25	5.93	14.2
	1.25	5.59	14.09	Watch
	1.22	5.8	15
	1.23	5.85	15	Watch
	1.23	5.84	14.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.28)	5.76 ↑ (5.44)	13.84 ↑ (10.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
76.6%

Draw
16.5%

Millwall
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.8%

17.4%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	5.9%	23.5%

Leeds United - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. (C) 3. Firpo J. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Rothwell J. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.	1. Jensen L. (G) 45. Harding W. 6. Tanganga J. 5. Cooper J. (C) 15. Bryan J. 24. De Norre C. 23. Saville G. 39. Honeyman G. 25. Cundle L. 11. Azeez F. 26. Ivanovic M.
Substitutes
25. Byram S. 42. Chambers S. 26. Darlow K. (G) 37. Debayo J. 29. Gnonto W. 44. Gruev I. 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 17. Ramazani L.	31. Bangura-Williams R. 21. Coburn J. 9. Connolly A. 52. Crama T. 22. Emakhu A. 41. Evans G. (G) 8. Mitchell B. 58. Sturge Z. 14. Wintle R.
Coaches
Farke D.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Cooper J. (Own goal),
28', Honeyman G. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Harding W. ↓, Crama T. ↑,
62', De Norre C. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
79', Ivanovic M. ↓, Coburn J. ↑,
79', Azeez F. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Tanaka A. ⚽, Firpo J. (A),
87', Rothwell J. ↓, Gruev I. ↑,
87', Solomon M. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
87', Bogle J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
90+1', James D. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
90+2', Piroe J. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 3.

Leeds is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Millwall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Millwall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Millwall have a series of guest games.

In this match Leeds is certain favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Ampadu E. (Knee Injury) Bamford P. (Hamstring Injury) Wober M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Millwall: Langstaff M. (Leg Injury) Leonard R. (Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Neghli C. (Muscle Injury) Roberts L. (Red Card) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Watmore D. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Leeds won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20:21 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Championship
09.03.25	Portsmouth - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Leeds United - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	Sheffield United - Leeds United	1:3 ✺
17.02.25	Leeds United - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Watford - Leeds United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWW
- Millwall
English League Championship
08.03.25	Watford - Millwall	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Millwall - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.25	Crystal Palace - Millwall	3:1 ✺
English League Championship
22.02.25	Derby County - Millwall	0:1 ✺
18.02.25	Preston North End - Millwall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
08.02.25	Leeds United - Millwall	0:2
English League Championship
06.11.24	Millwall - Leeds United	1:0
17.03.24	Leeds United - Millwall	2:0
17.09.23	Millwall - Leeds United	0:3
28.01.20	Leeds United - Millwall	3:2
05.10.19	Millwall - Leeds United	2:1
30.03.19	Leeds United - Millwall	3:2

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