Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 26

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
Usa	Paramount+


	Hull City		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.53	Watch
	6	4	1.55
	5.87	4.13	1.56	Watch
	5.78	4.13	1.56	Watch
	6	3.9	1.57
	6	4.05	1.57	Watch
	5.87	4.13	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.9 ↓ (5.99)	4.08 (4.08)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
16%

Draw
23.2%

Leeds United
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

23.1%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

22.6%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Hull City - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Leeds will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 5. Jones A. 6. McLoughlin S. 29. Jacob M. 19. Alzate S. 27. Slater R. 44. Kamara A. 20. Puerta G. 48. Burstow M. 12. Joao Pedro Galvao	1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 39. Wober M. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Rothwell J. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.
Substitutes
17. Burns F. 42. Coyle R. 23. Drameh C. 3. Giles R. 15. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 41. Sellars-Fleming T. 18. Simons X. 26. Smith A. 14. Vaughan H.	25. Byram S. 26. Darlow K. (G) 37. Debayo J. 30. Gelhardt J. 29. Gnonto W. 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 17. Ramazani L. 33. Schmidt I.
Coaches
Selles R.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kamara A. ⚽, Burstow M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', 1 - 1, Tanaka A. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
62', 1 - 2, James D. ⚽, Bogle J. (A),
66', Wober M. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
67', Burstow M. ↓, Vaughan H. ↑,
68', Alzate S. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Piroe J. ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽,
84', Rodon J. 🟨,
89', 3 - 3, Kamara A. ⚽,
90+1', Piroe J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
90+1', Rothwell J. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
90+3', Kamara A. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
90+3', Puerta G. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hull won 1.

Recent matches Hull is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leeds is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Knee Injury) Millar L. (Knee Injury) Palmer K. (Ankle Injury) Rushworth C. (Ankle Injury) Zambrano O. (Doping)

There will not play in Leeds: Gruev I. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Hull won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:20 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hull won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
01.01.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	0:1 ✺
29.12.24	Blackburn Rovers - Hull City	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Preston North End - Hull City	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Hull City - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Coventry City - Hull City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWL
- Leeds United
English League Championship
01.01.25	Leeds United - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Derby County - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Stoke City - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Leeds United - Oxford United	4:0 ✺
14.12.24	Preston North End - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
31.08.24	Leeds United - Hull City	2:0
01.04.24	Leeds United - Hull City	3:1
20.09.23	Hull City - Leeds United	0:0
English League Cup
16.09.20	Leeds United - Hull City	1:2 penalties
English League Championship
29.02.20	Hull City - Leeds United	0:4
10.12.19	Leeds United - Hull City	2:0
29.12.18	Leeds United - Hull City	0:2

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