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Preston North End - Leeds United

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Match Info

  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 21
  • Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Deepdale (Preston) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Preston North End Leeds United
    Preston North End Leeds United
    1 X 2
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    Williamhill 5.8 3.5 1.65
    BetNow 5.91 3.94 1.59 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bovada 5.91 3.95 1.59
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.95 ↑
    (5.24)    		 3.92 ↓
    (3.97)    		 1.59 ↓
    (1.63)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Preston North End
    16%    		Draw
    24.3%    		Leeds United
    59.7%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    18% 23.8% 58.1%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    17.4% 23% 60.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    15% 20% 65%

    Preston North End - Leeds United Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Leeds will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 44.1% โ€“ 85.9%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. EnglandWoodman F. (G)
    44. EnglandPotts B.
    14. EnglandStorey J.
      6. ScotlandLindsay L.
    29. EnglandKesler-Hayden K.
      8. NorthernMcCann A.
      4. EnglandWhiteman B. (C)
    10. DenmarkFrokjaer-Jensen M.
      7. IrelandKeane W.
    11. IrelandBrady R.
    28. MontenegroOsmajic M.
    		  1. FranceMeslier I. (G)
      2. EnglandBogle J.
      6. WalesRodon J.
      5. NetherlandsStruijk P. (C)
    25. EnglandByram S.
    22. JapanTanaka A.
      8. EnglandRothwell J.
      7. WalesJames D.
    11. USAAaronson B.
    29. ItalyGnonto W.
    10. NetherlandsPiroe J.
    Substitutes
    26. GermanyBauer P.
    40. EnglandBowler J.
    13. WalesCornell D. (G)
    25. USAHolmes D.
    18. EnglandLedson R.
    23. DenmarkOkkels J.
      9. DenmarkRiis E.
    22. IcelandThordarson S. T.
      5. EnglandWhatmough J.
    		  4. WalesAmpadu E.
      9. EnglandBamford P.
    26. WalesDarlow K. (G)
    23. FranceGuilavogui J.
    19. SpainJoseph M.
    17. BelgiumRamazani L.
    33. SwitzerlandSchmidt I.
    14. IsraelSolomon M.
    39. AustriaWober M.
    Coaches
         EnglandHeckingbottom P.
    		     GermanyFarke D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 23', 1 - 0, Potts B. ⚽, Osmajic M. (A),
    • 32', Whiteman B. 🟨,
    • 37', Farke D. 🟨,
    • 39', James D. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 46', Whiteman B. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
    • 58', Osmajic M. 🟨,
    • 61', Keane W. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
    • 62', Brady R. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
    • 65', Gnonto W. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
    • 65', Aaronson B. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
    • 75', Osmajic M. ↓, Ledson R. ↑,
    • 77', Rothwell J. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
    • 82', Byram S. ↓, Ampadu E. ↑,
    • 82', Bogle J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
    • 83', Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↓, Whatmough J. ↑,
    • 88', Lindsay L. 🟨,
    • 90+3', 1 - 1, Whatmough J. (Own goal),

    Preview

  • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 1.
  • Recent matches Preston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
  • Leeds is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
  • Preston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • In this match Leeds is a favorite.
  • There will not play in Preston: Evans C. (Muscle Injury)
  • There will not play in Leeds: Firpo J. (Muscle Injury) Gelhardt J. (Hip Injury) Gruev I. (Knee Injury)
  • Last 14 head-to-head matches Preston won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:20 (average 0.9:1.4).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Preston North End
    English League Championship
    11.12.24 Cardiff City - Preston North End 0:2 ✺
    07.12.24 Sheffield Wednesday - Preston North End 1:1 ✺
    30.11.24 Preston North End - West Bromwich Albion 1:1 ✺
    26.11.24 Stoke City - Preston North End 0:0 ✺
    23.11.24 Preston North End - Derby County 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5
    WTTTT
    - Leeds United
    English League Championship
    10.12.24 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 3:1 ✺
    07.12.24 Leeds United - Derby County 2:0 ✺
    30.11.24 Blackburn Rovers - Leeds United 1:0 ✺
    27.11.24 Leeds United - Luton Town 3:0 ✺
    24.11.24 Swansea City - Leeds United 3:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4
    WWLWW
    Latest Head to Head
    English League Championship
    21.01.24 Leeds United - Preston North End 2:1
    26.12.23 Preston North End - Leeds United 2:1
    26.12.19 Leeds United - Preston North End 1:1
    22.10.19 Preston North End - Leeds United 1:1
    09.04.19 Preston North End - Leeds United 0:2
    18.09.18 Leeds United - Preston North End 3:0
    English League Cup
    28.08.18 Leeds United - Preston North End 0:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Preston North End
    English League Championship
    03.11.26 Preston North End - Sheffield United ✺
    31.10.26 Stoke City - Preston North End ✺
    - Leeds United
    English Premier League
    31.10.26 Bournemouth - Leeds United ✺

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