Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 21

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Preston North End		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.57	Watch
	6	3.8	1.6
	5.91	3.95	1.59	Watch
	6.35	4.05	1.58
	6.25	3.93	1.57	Watch
	5.8	3.5	1.65
	5.91	3.94	1.59	Watch
	5.91	3.95	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.95 ↑ (5.24)	3.92 ↓ (3.97)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
16%

Draw
24.3%

Leeds United
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

23.8%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

23%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	20%	65%

Preston North End - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Leeds will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Woodman F. (G) 44. Potts B. 14. Storey J. 6. Lindsay L. 29. Kesler-Hayden K. 8. McCann A. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 7. Keane W. 11. Brady R. 28. Osmajic M.	1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. (C) 25. Byram S. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Rothwell J. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 29. Gnonto W. 10. Piroe J.
Substitutes
26. Bauer P. 40. Bowler J. 13. Cornell D. (G) 25. Holmes D. 18. Ledson R. 23. Okkels J. 9. Riis E. 22. Thordarson S. T. 5. Whatmough J.	4. Ampadu E. 9. Bamford P. 26. Darlow K. (G) 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 17. Ramazani L. 33. Schmidt I. 14. Solomon M. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Potts B. ⚽, Osmajic M. (A),
32', Whiteman B. 🟨,
37', Farke D. 🟨,
39', James D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Whiteman B. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
58', Osmajic M. 🟨,
61', Keane W. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
62', Brady R. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
65', Gnonto W. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
65', Aaronson B. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
75', Osmajic M. ↓, Ledson R. ↑,
77', Rothwell J. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
82', Byram S. ↓, Ampadu E. ↑,
82', Bogle J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
83', Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↓, Whatmough J. ↑,
88', Lindsay L. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Whatmough J. (Own goal),

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 1.

Recent matches Preston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leeds is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Preston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

There will not play in Preston: Evans C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Leeds: Firpo J. (Muscle Injury) Gelhardt J. (Hip Injury) Gruev I. (Knee Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Preston won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:20 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
11.12.24	Cardiff City - Preston North End	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Preston North End - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
26.11.24	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Preston North End - Derby County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTTTT
- Leeds United
English League Championship
10.12.24	Leeds United - Middlesbrough	3:1 ✺
07.12.24	Leeds United - Derby County	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Blackburn Rovers - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Leeds United - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	Swansea City - Leeds United	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.01.24	Leeds United - Preston North End	2:1
26.12.23	Preston North End - Leeds United	2:1
26.12.19	Leeds United - Preston North End	1:1
22.10.19	Preston North End - Leeds United	1:1
09.04.19	Preston North End - Leeds United	0:2
18.09.18	Leeds United - Preston North End	3:0
English League Cup
28.08.18	Leeds United - Preston North End	0:2

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