Match Info

Championship - Round 29

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hull City		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.9
	2.23	3.36	3.26	Watch
	2.27	3.35	3.39
	2.23	3.33	3.29	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.19	3.3	3.68	Watch
	2.22	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.17)	3.3 ↓ (3.31)	3.31 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
42.5%

Draw
28.8%

Swansea City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Hull City - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Swansea will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Swansea (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Hull (1.91) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hull City will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Swansea (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 4. Hughes C. 15. Egan J. 23. Famewo A. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 27. Slater R. 22. Joseph K. 21. Gelhardt J. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 30. Galbraith E. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 4. Fulton J. 35. Ronald 17. Franco G. 20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
11. Akintola B. 25. Crooks M. 26. Dowell K. 13. Hirakawa Y. 16. Jacob M. 5. Lundstram J. 58. McCarthy C. 19. Ndala J. 12. Phillips D. (G)	31. Cooper O. 1. Fisher A. (G) 39. Gustavo Nunes 2. Key J. 6. Stamenic M. 24. Wales B. 25. Ward J. 7. Widell M. 8. Yalcouye M.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Emanuel Soares Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', Burgess C. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, McBurnie O. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Famewo A. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Slater R. ⚽, Hadziahmetovic A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Galbraith E. ↓, Key J. ↑,
48', Millar L. 🟨,
56', Gelhardt J. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
56', Millar L. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Cullen L. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
65', Eom J. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
66', Franco G. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
66', Ronald ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
70', Key J. 🟨,
72', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Jacob M. ↑,
72', McBurnie O. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
80', Fulton J. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
88', Joseph K. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
90+4', Dowell K. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 1.

Hull is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Swansea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.

Hull might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Inactive) Destan E. (Knee Injury) Drameh C. (Thigh Injury) Giles R. (Injury) Gyabi D. (Groin Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Williams B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Groin Injury) Samuels-Smith I. (Groin Injury) Santos R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Hull: Akintola B. (Injury) Egan J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Swansea: 7.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15:7	8	20

Last Results with these Odds

Swansea City - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.94%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
20.01.26	Preston North End - Hull City	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Southampton - Hull City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Hull City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Championship
01.01.26	Hull City - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Middlesbrough - Hull City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWWLW
- Swansea City
English League Championship
20.01.26	Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Swansea City - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Millwall - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.09.25	Swansea City - Hull City	2:2
18.04.25	Swansea City - Hull City	1:0
21.12.24	Hull City - Swansea City	2:1
10.02.24	Hull City - Swansea City	0:1
25.11.23	Swansea City - Hull City	2:2
29.04.23	Hull City - Swansea City	1:1
17.09.22	Swansea City - Hull City	3:0

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