Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Emelec

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	5	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.33
	1.74	3.55	4.8
	1.8	3.48	4.9
	1.83	3.25	4
	1.79	3.48	4.7	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.62)	3.42 ↓ (3.67)	4.56 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
52.1%

Draw
27.4%

Emelec
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huracán Buenos Aires's form might have worsened.

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: Huracán Buenos Aires will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chaves L. (G) 12. Soto G. 2. Tobio F. 28. Novillo J. 25. Ibanez C. 5. Hezze S. 24. Fattori F. 21. Mazzantti W. 10. Castro L. 23. Gomez M. 9. Cordero N.	12. Ortiz P. (C) 3. Fara C. 2. Leguizamon A. 26. Leon F. 24. Carabali B. 36. Valencia C. 15. Villalba C. 19. Bryan Angulo 23. Bolanos M. 7. Sosa Samuel 9. Cabeza A.
Substitutes
30. Acevedo J. 14. Benitez A. G. 16. Burgoa V. 32. Campisi D. (G) 3. Carrizo L. 7. Coccaro M. 19. Garcia J. 22. Garro J. 11. Godoy F. 8. Gudino G. 35. Pizarro P. 4. Torrent F.	6. Agron B. 8. Alberti J. 14. Caicedo R. 21. Cevallos J. 18. Cruz C. 17. Espinoza J. 11. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 13. Jhon Sanchez 22. Mina F. (G) 70. Perez J.
Coaches
Battaglia S.	Rondelli M.

Preview

Recent matches Huracán is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Emelec is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Huracán is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Huracán won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.05.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
12.05.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Godoy Cruz	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Lanús - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Danubio	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLTW
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.05.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Emelec - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Cumbayá - Emelec	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Emelec	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.04.23	Emelec - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Emelec - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0

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