Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA

Date: 18 August 2023, Friday

Location: Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn)


	IFK Mariehamn		Honka

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.25	2
	4	3.4	1.9
	4.1	3.47	2.01
	3.6	3.1	1.91
	3.84	3.46	1.97	Watch
	3.7	3.35	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.05)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	1.96 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Mariehamn
24.6%

Draw
27.9%

Honka
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.5%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IFK Mariehamn's form might have worsened.

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Honka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	23.5%	47.1%

IFK Mariehamn - Honka Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Honka will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Honka: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Henriksson E. (G) 22. Granlund A. 2. Lahti T. (C) 13. Coubronne J-C. 23. Sumusalo M. 32. Heyden J. 17. Sid R. 8. Ngamba A. 10. Hopcutt J. 20. Kotsopoulos K. 7. Sjoroos R.	1. Rudakov M. (C) 26. Naamo D. 4. Baak F. 23. Hernandez A. 20. Rale M. 24. Banahene N. 9. Wurtz J. 11. Krebs F. 17. Laine L. 19. Lopez M. 15. Arko-Mensah E.
Substitutes
43. Andersson L. 41. Anini S. 9. De 30. Hautamo O. (G) 15. Henrique A. 28. Nissinen J. 18. Olawale M.	47. Aijala E. 7. Bauque C. 88. Koskinen O. 16. Muzinga J. 3. Ojala J. 32. Ortiz L. 12. Paunio R. (G)
Coaches
Norrmen D.	Vasara V.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

Mariehamn is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Mariehamn have a series of guest games.

In this match Honka is a favorite.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 5 matches, drawn 15 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 34-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Mariehamn won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga
11.08.23	Haka - IFK Mariehamn	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	4:2 ✺
30.07.23	IFK Mariehamn - Inter Turku	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Ilves - IFK Mariehamn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLLWT
- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.08.23	Honka - Inter Turku	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Lahti - Honka	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Honka - Oulu	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Honka - Tobol Kostanay	0:0 ✺
13.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Honka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.06.23	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	2:1
Club Friendly
30.03.23	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
21.01.23	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.07.22	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	1:1
18.04.22	IFK Mariehamn - Honka	1:1
02.10.21	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	1:1
22.08.21	IFK Mariehamn - Honka	1:3

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