Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok)

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	Laola1
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Iberia 1999

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	11	Watch
	1.38	4.80	8.00
	1.28	4.55	11.5	Watch
	1.31	5.47	9.87
	1.32	5.38	9.07	Watch
	1.26	5.55	9.95
	1.28	5.51	11.5	Watch
	1.29	5.4	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)	5.24 ↑ (4.83)	10.06 ↑ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
72.7%

Draw
18%

Iberia 1999
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.5%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

18.6%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Iberia 1999 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iberia 1999 than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	2.6%	2.6%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Iberia 1999 Predictions

Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (35 of 37 users predict this - 94.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 5. Vital B. 4. Kobayashi Y. 23. Montoia G. 11. Imaz J. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 19. Klynge A. 10. Agbonifo J. 99. Prelec N. 7. Szmyt K.	31. Makaridze G. (G) 5. Jinjolava J. (C) 4. Selimovic V. 25. Amisulashvili A. 40. Kobuladze G. 6. Dadiani N. 14. Alhassan I. 8. Kardava B. 17. Ende S. 19. Sikharulashvili N. 10. Natchkebia Z.
Substitutes
27. Conceicao R. 8. Drachal D. 72. Jozwiak K. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 85. Kozlowski E. 61. Krasiewicz B. 21. Lozano S. 1. Perchel M. (G) 2. Polak C. 9. Rallis D. 30. Sow O. 17. Sylla Y.	35. Avdoevi S. 30. Bochorishvili N. 29. Chikhradze L. 9. Dzagania A. 22. Figueredo S. 32. Gogilashvili D. 23. Kuliyev E. 27. Kutsia G. 1. Megrelishvili T. (G)
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Demchenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
32', Alhassan I. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Imaz J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 2 - 0, Agbonifo J. ⚽, Wojtuszek N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Kobuladze G. 🟨,
50', Demchenko A. 🟨,
59', Agbonifo J. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
61', Selimovic V. 🟨,
62', 3 - 0, Alhassan I. (Own goal), Montoia G. (A),
66', Alhassan I. ↓, Kutsia G. ↑,
70', Imaz J. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
70', Ende S. ↓, Dzagania A. ↑,
71', Dadiani N. 🟨,
80', Szmyt K. ↓, Conceicao R. ↑,
80', Prelec N. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
80', Dadiani N. ↓, Kuliyev E. ↑,
80', Kobuladze G. ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
80', Amisulashvili A. ↓, Bochorishvili N. ↑,
81', Kuliyev E. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 0, Lozano S. ⚽, Conceicao R. (A),

Preview

First leg.

Jagiellonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Iberia 1999's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Iberia 1999 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Iberia 1999 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Jagiellonia is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Jagiellonia: 0.44%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Glasgow Rangers - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.08.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.07.26	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLWWW
- Iberia 1999
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.08.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Iberia 1999	4:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.08.26	Iberia 1999 - Larne	2:1 AET ✺
04.08.26	Larne - Iberia 1999	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Slovan Bratislava - Iberia 1999	1:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
24.07.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Iberia 1999	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWTTW

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