Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 8

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Imabari		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.14	3.27	3.66
	2.06	3.27	3.66
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.96	3.28	3.56	Watch
	2.09	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.87)	3.25 ↓ (3.37)	3.46 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
45%

Draw
28.3%

Nagano Parceiro
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.1%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Nagano Parceiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imabari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Ito G. (G) 23. Matsumoto Y. 4. Ichihara R. 5. Shirai T. 2. Kato T. 10. Indio 6. Moschion T. 18. Arai H. 9. Kondo T. 7. Yamada T. 11. Sakano T.	1. Tajiri K. (G) 5. Ikegaya H. 3. Tomita K. 19. Sugii H. 23. Kuroishi T. 6. Nishimura Y. 47. Kato K. 13. Konishi H. 8. Kondo T. 14. Sanda N. 18. Ukita K.
Substitutes
21. Hino T. 50. Mikado Y. 29. Rodrigo 1. Shugyo T. (G) 13. Takase T. 24. Takeuchi Y. 37. Umeki R.	33. Ando K. 21. Kim Min-Ho (G) 29. Kudo S. 17. Kutsuna K. 26. Park S. 48. Sunamori K. 10. Yamanaka R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Ichihara R. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Kuroishi T. ⚽, Kondo T. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Ikegaya H. ⚽, Kato K. (A),
62', Kondo T. ↓, Takase T. ↑,
63', Yamada T. ↓, Hino T. ↑,
63', Sakano T. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Kato T. ⚽, Rodrigo (A),
67', Nishimura Y. ↓, Park S. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Ukita K. ⚽, Park S. (A),
71', Moschion T. ↓, Mikado Y. ↑,
73', 2 - 3, Hino T. ⚽,
79', Kato K. ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
90', Konishi H. ↓, Kudo S. ↑,
90', Ukita K. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
90+1', Matsumoto Y. ↓, Umeki R. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Ito G. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Imabari won 2.

Recent matches Imabari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nagano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Imabari will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Imabari won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Imabari won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J3 League
30.03.24	Osaka - Imabari	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Imabari - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
20.03.24	Imabari - Gifu	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	YSCC - Imabari	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Imabari - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWW
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
30.03.24	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nagano Parceiro	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Nagano Parceiro - Fukushima United	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nagano Parceiro	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Nagano Parceiro - Tokushima Vortis	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
16.09.23	Imabari - Nagano Parceiro	2:0
01.07.23	Nagano Parceiro - Imabari	0:4
12.11.22	Imabari - Nagano Parceiro	3:3
10.07.22	Nagano Parceiro - Imabari	1:1
05.12.21	Nagano Parceiro - Imabari	0:0
05.06.21	Imabari - Nagano Parceiro	0:0
29.11.20	Nagano Parceiro - Imabari	1:0

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