Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Atlético Tucumán

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.85	Watch
	1.78	3.46	4.84	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.62	Watch
	1.79	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.99)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)	4.73 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
52.5%

Draw
27.7%

Atlético Tucumán
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

27.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente's performance.

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	6.9%	1.7%

Independiente - Atlético Tucumán Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Independiente (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Atlético Tucumán (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Atlético Tucumán (3.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Independiente will win (53 of 58 users predict this - 91.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.16% – 98.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 30 - 88.2%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 2 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 29. Godoy L. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 39. de Irastorza J. 5. Loyola F. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 14. Millan L. 19. Abaldo M. 9. Avalos G. 7. Montiel S.	1. Mansilla M. (G) 4. Martinez D. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 13. Ortiz M. 21. Galvan I. 5. Sanchez A. 45. Ortiz K. 30. Lopez K. 22. Ruiz R. 27. Diaz L. 9. Bajamich M.
Substitutes
1. Blazquez J. (G) 10. Cabral L. 6. Freire N. 11. Mancuello F. 23. Marcone I. 17. Mazzantti W. 55. Palais J. 47. Perez M. 25. Pussetto I. 27. Tarzia D. 4. Vera F. 22. Zabala F.	35. Abeldano G. 8. Acosta G. 28. Auzqui C. 33. Brizuela M. 29. Cabrera L. 6. Ferrari G. 10. Franco N. 24. Godoy L. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 14. Grillo F. 34. Roman P. 18. Tesuri R.
Coaches
Quinteros G.	Colace H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Diaz L. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Abaldo M. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Loyola F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bajamich M. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
46', Lopez K. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
47', Valdez S. 🟨,
51', Ortiz K. 🟨,
55', 3 - 0, Loyola F. ⚽, Montiel S. (A),
58', Galvan I. 🟥,
63', Ruiz R. ↓, Acosta G. ↑,
63', Sanchez A. ↓, Brizuela M. ↑,
67', Loyola F. ↓, Marcone I. ↑,
67', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Perez M. ↑,
74', Ortiz K. ↓, Tesuri R. ↑,
79', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
79', Lomonaco K. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
80', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟨,
85', Montiel S. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
89', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟥,
90', Avalos G. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.

Independiente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Tucumán has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Tucumán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.

There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Inactive) Valenzuela M. (Injury) Vera F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Infante J. (Knee Injury) Lamendola N. (Yellow Cards) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.10.25	Independiente - Platense	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	San Martín de San Juan - Independiente	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Independiente - Lanús	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Racing - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLTT
- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.10.25	Atlético Tucumán - San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético Tucumán - Platense	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Tucumán - River Plate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.04.25	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente	2:0
09.12.24	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
31.03.24	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	1:1
04.11.23	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.07.23	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente	1:0
24.07.22	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	0:1
Copa Argentina
23.06.22	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente	0:1

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