Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Colombia	ESPN 5
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, DSports 1, Inter


	Independiente		Nacional Potosí

	1	X	2
	1.13	9	19	Watch
	1.14	8.5	16.5
	1.11	8	23	Watch
	1.12	8.73	18.42
	1.14	8.5	17.57	Watch
	1.12	7.5	21	Watch
	1.14	8.3	14.5	Watch
	1.11	8	23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.14)	8.32 ↑ (7.15)	19.12 ↑ (18.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
83.7%

Draw
11.3%

Nacional Potosí
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Independiente - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.25 - Nacional Potosí (1.91) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.25 - Independiente (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Nacional Potosí (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (G) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 39. de Irastorza J. 23. Marcone I. 7. Montiel S. 5. Loyola F. 10. Cabral L. 27. Tarzia D. 34. Gimenez M.	1. Mustafa S. (G) 21. Baldomar O. 26. Echeverria S. 28. Palacio D. 3. Acuna M. 7. Torres S. 8. Pavia L. 22. Hoyos D. 16. Torrico A. 24. Diellos D. 19. Abrego V.
Substitutes
9. Avalos G. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 6. Freire N. 8. Galdames P. 16. Hidalgo S. 22. Martinez B. 21. Martinez D. 14. Millan L. 32. Paredes F. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 19. Roman P. 35. Salle S.	29. Alvarez W. 18. Azogue P. 23. Galindo P. (G) 27. Garcia A. 17. Guerra S. 30. Johan Bocanegra 10. Preciado C. 20. Prost M. 11. Rojas J.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Vigevani C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', Montiel S. (Pen),
26', 1 - 0, Montiel S. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Tarzia D. ⚽, de Irastorza J. (A),
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Diellos D. ↓, Prost M. ↑,
46', Pavia L. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
46', Vera F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Loyola F. ⚽, Montiel S. (A),
53', 4 - 0, Montiel S. ⚽, de Irastorza J. (A),
61', Gimenez M. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
69', Baldomar O. 🟨,
70', Cabral L. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
70', Tarzia D. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
73', Abrego V. ↓, Preciado C. ↑,
77', 5 - 0, Millan L. ⚽, Lomonaco K. (A),
78', Millan L. 🟨,
80', Loyola F. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
82', 6 - 0, Echeverria S. (Own goal),
83', Preciado C. 🟨,
84', 7 - 0, Galdames P. ⚽,
87', Preciado C. 🟨,

Preview

Independiente is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nacional Potosí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of home games.

In this match, Independiente is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.05.25	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 penalties ✺
19.05.25	Boca Juniors - Independiente	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.05.25	Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.25	Boston River - Independiente	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW
- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.05.25	Blooming - Nacional Potosí	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
20.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Jorge Wilstermann	3:4 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Boston River	3:0 ✺
06.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
01.04.25	Nacional Potosí - Independiente	2:0

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