Match Info

ECUADOR: Copa Ecuador - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America
World	DirecTV Sports


	Independiente Juniors		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	2.99	3.02	2.46
	3.06	3.02	2.45	Watch
	2.93	3.18	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.55)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente Juniors
31.2%

Draw
30.4%

Mushuc Runa
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Independiente Juniors - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Villa A. (G) 17. Arroyo J. P. 19. Bravo M. 2. Cabal E. 6. Cagua M. 50. Castillo A. 18. Cicioli U. 4. Cortez S. 3. Garcia C. 16. Quinonez L. 28. Solis M.	1. Tapia C. (G) 77. Acuna M. 15. Alcivar Sanchez A. F. 11. Alonso M. 6. Ayala M. 41. Caicedo E. 33. Mina J. 29. Quintero D. 2. Randazzo J. 20. Segura D. 8. Zambrano A.
Substitutes
8. Angulo G. 10. De la Cruz J. 52. Estupinan D. 60. Estupinan D. 24. Klinger J. 23. Preciado G. 22. Quinonez D. 51. Quinonez J. 30. Vela P.	12. Bone A. (G) 7. Castro S. 10. Delgado B. 26. Estacio J. 25. Montano M. 80. Obando F. 3. Parrales J. 14. Tapiero S. 27. Verges J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Independiente Juniors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mushuc Runa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
23.08.24	Vargas Torres - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Independiente Juniors - Guayaquil City	2:3 ✺
08.08.24	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	1:1 ✺
31.07.24	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
28.07.24	Independiente Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLTWW
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.08.24	Mushuc Runa - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Imbabura - Mushuc Runa	2:3 ✺
11.08.24	Mushuc Runa - Emelec	3:0 ✺
03.08.24	Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
21.07.24	Leones del Norte - Mushuc Runa	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWTW

Upcoming Matches