Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Independiente Medellín		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.8	9	Watch
	1.52	3.7	7
	1.52	3.6	7	Watch
	1.43	3.75	7.2
	1.45	4.04	8.81
	1.5	3.5	7	Watch
	1.43	4	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.53)	3.77 ↑ (3.43)	7.66 ↑ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
63.2%

Draw
24.7%

9 de Octubre
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

26.5%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

25.6%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Independiente Medellín - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Independiente Medellín is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches 9 de Octubre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente Medellín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently 9 de Octubre have a series of home games.

In this match Independiente Medellín is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
10.04.22	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Guaireña - Independiente Medellín	3:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.04.22	Independiente Medellín - Envigado	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
23.03.22	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTWTW
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.04.22	9 de Octubre - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.22	9 de Octubre - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.04.22	SD Aucas - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	9 de Octubre - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.03.22	9 de Octubre - Delfín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTTW

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