What is the expert prediction for Independiente Medellín vs Liverpool Montevideo?

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Independiente Medellín vs Liverpool Montevideo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, February 24, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Georgia	Silk Universal
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Independiente Medellín		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6.25	Watch
	1.46	4.2	6.75
	1.44	3.95	7.4	Watch
	1.35	4.54	8.36
	1.43	4.41	7.83	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.45	4.47	7.9	Watch
	1.37	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (2.7)	4.26 ↑ (3.4)	7.56 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
65.8%

Draw
21.9%

Liverpool Montevideo
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

27.1%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Liverpool will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ichazo S. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 4. Mantilla K. 24. Ortiz J. 26. Mena Perea E. 16. Loboa H. 6. Moreno D. (C) 18. Fabra F. 7. Berrio L. 19. Fydriszewski F. 20. Montano J.	25. Campana M. (G) 4. Perdomo F. 23. Castillo E. 15. Laquidain S. 3. Strasorier S. 5. Garayalde N. 20. Rabunal M. (C) 27. Romero D. 11. Bentancourt R. 31. Barcelo F. 7. Martinez F.
Substitutes
3. Balanta M. 25. Chaux E. (G) 13. Chaverra F. 28. Davila A. 5. Escorcia L. 9. Larrosa E. 17. Mancilla G. 31. Moreno D. 30. Palacios H. 23. Palacios M. 8. Serna A. 88. Viveros J.	16. Acosta L. 32. Barrenechea F. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 12. Cabrera D. 28. Castillo J. 10. Degregorio R. M. 17. de Mello G. 34. Lewis K. 9. Machado R. 8. Mir M. 29. Olivera E. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Ferrin G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Strasorier S. 🟨,
27', Mantilla K. 🟨,
41', Ichazo S. 🟨,
42', Berrio L. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
43', Laquidain S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Bentancourt R. 🟨,
48', Chaverra L. 🟨,
64', Laquidain S. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
64', Barcelo F. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
66', Mena Perea E. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
66', Montano J. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
78', Martinez F. ↓, Lewis K. ↑,
80', Loboa H. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
85', Perdomo F. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
85', Garayalde N. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.

Ind Medellín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Liverpool's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ind Medellín is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ind Medellín won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

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Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Medellín - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Liverpool Montevideo - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
20.02.26	Llaneros SA - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
14.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Inter Bogotá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTWL
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.02.26	Cerro - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
13.01.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente Medellín	1:2

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