Match Info

Date: 10 October 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Ejarque E. (Arg)


	Independiente Rivadavia		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	5.5
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.6	3.5	5.4
	1.66	3.35	5
	1.69	3.4	6.08
	1.65	3.2	5.5
	1.66	3.34	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)	3.38 ↓ (3.63)	5.37 ↓ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
55.4%

Draw
27.3%

Nueva Chicago
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

25.8%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

24.9%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Independiente Rivadavia - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 25 - 62.5%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 10 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 47.5% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 34).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nueva Chicago could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Independiente Rivadavia is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.10.22	Club Almagro - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0 ✺
25.09.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia	4:1 ✺
12.09.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Madryn	3:0 ✺
04.09.22	Deportivo Morón - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWT
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.10.22	Nueva Chicago - Quilmes	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
12.09.22	Nueva Chicago - Club Almagro	2:3 ✺
04.09.22	Alvarado - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
29.08.22	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.12.20	Nueva Chicago - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2
02.03.20	Nueva Chicago - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
08.09.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Nueva Chicago	4:1
11.05.19	Nueva Chicago - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2
04.05.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Nueva Chicago	4:1
30.03.19	Nueva Chicago - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2
17.09.17	Nueva Chicago - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1

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