Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 19

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)


	Independiente Santa Fe		Atlético Huila

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.42	4.33	6.5
	1.44	4.2	6.4
	1.47	4.37	7.72
	1.42	3.9	7
	1.45	4.4	7.1
	1.43	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.52)	4.26 ↑ (3.65)	7.15 ↑ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
65%

Draw
21.9%

Atlético Huila
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.9%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

21.9%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Huila Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente Santa Fe will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Santa Fe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santa Fe is indisputable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Fe won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
11.05.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Universitario de Deportes - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.04.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima	2:0 ✺
26.04.23	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
08.05.23	Atlético Huila - América de Cali	0:2 ✺
01.05.23	Envigado - Atlético Huila	0:1 ✺
25.04.23	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	2:3 ✺
22.04.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
17.04.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
24.10.21	Atlético Huila - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2
09.10.19	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Huila	0:0
17.04.19	Atlético Huila - Independiente Santa Fe	0:3
08.09.18	Atlético Huila - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1
17.03.18	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Huila	0:1
22.07.17	Atlético Huila - Independiente Santa Fe	0:2
18.02.17	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Huila	1:0

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