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Current Win Probability
Junior Barranquilla 70.9%
Draw 19.4%
Deportivo La Equidad 9.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
22.9%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.1%
22%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
95%
0%
5%
Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - La Equidad (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Half - draw (9.55) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Users Predictions:
Junior Barranquilla will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Junior Barranquilla will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 13 - 86.7%). La Equidad (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Martinez J. (G) 26. Suarez Y. 66. Baez C. 5. Rivera D. 34. Guerrero J. 28. Celis G. 6. Moreno D. 22. Rivas J. 8. Chara Y. (C) 99. Enamorado J. 9. Paiva G.
1. Beltran E. (G) 2. Vivas C. 4. Rodas M. (C) 5. Masllorens J. 7. Micolta Piedahita J. 10. Mayo S. 13. Abonia Y. 18. Bolivar J. 23. Castilla J. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 30. Parra Atehortua K.
Substitutes
12. Acosta Almeida J. L. (G) 88. Castrillon B. 16. Esparragoza C. 29. Gutierrez T. 3. Herrera E. 98. Pena J. 23. Titi
17. Chaverra F. 32. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 31. Julio R. 8. Monaco M. 16. Montano B. 45. Quinones D. 34. Santamaria M. 9. Valencia J.
Coaches
Arias A.
Merino D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rivas J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
53', Celis G. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
69', Chara Y. ↓, Titi ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Paiva G. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),
72', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
73', Enamorado J. 🟨,
75', Paiva G. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
81', Castilla J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
81', Masllorens J. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
87', Mayo S. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
87', Abonia Y. ↓, Julio R. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Bolivar J. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Junior is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 1:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:2. (average 1.7:0.2).
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Martinez J. (G) 
Baez C. 
Vivas C. 
Masllorens J. 
Monaco M. 
Arias A. 
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