Match Info

ECUADOR: COPA ECUADOR - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)


	Independiente del Valle		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.33	7.5
	1.27	5	8
	1.29	3.95	7
	1.31	4.78	10.25
	1.28	4.85	8.9	Watch
	1.32	4.3	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.46)	4.54 ↑ (4)	8.21 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
69.2%

Draw
19.9%

9 de Octubre
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.5%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 9 de Octubre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 9 de Octubre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neutral location - Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente del Valle won 2.

Independiente del Valle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

9 de Octubre has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Independiente del Valle is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Independiente del Valle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente del Valle won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Copa
02.11.22	Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.10.22	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
10.10.22	Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
07.10.22	El Nacional - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLW
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Copa
02.11.22	9 de Octubre - El Nacional	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.10.22	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
17.10.22	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
05.10.22	Mushuc Runa - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.10.22	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	1:0
Ecuadorian Copa
21.09.22	9 de Octubre - Independiente del Valle	4:1
14.09.22	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	1:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.05.22	9 de Octubre - Independiente del Valle	1:1
02.10.21	9 de Octubre - Independiente del Valle	1:0
18.04.21	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	2:1

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