Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4


	Independiente del Valle		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.75
	1.68	3.75	5.2
	1.78	3.54	5.2
	1.67	3.4	4.4
	1.77	3.64	4.6	Watch
	1.76	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	3.55 ↓ (3.56)	4.84 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
54.2%

Draw
26.5%

Argentinos Juniors
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

28.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	20%	33.3%

Independiente del Valle - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Villa A. (G) 14. Carabajal M. 2. Garcia A. 55. Paez K. 13. Fernandez M. 7. Alcivar J. 8. Faravelli L. (C) 51. Medina Y. 80. Ortiz J. 11. Hoyos M. 19. Diaz L.	25. Martin A. (G) 4. Mac Allister K. 2. Torren M. (C) 24. Gonzalez L. 7. Cabrera J. 5. Redondo Solari F. 17. Moyano F. 18. Montiel S. 13. Gonzalez F. 9. Avalos G. 8. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
30. Arroyo J. 31. Cabezas E. 15. Caicedo B. 17. Cortez G. 4. Landazuri A. 18. Marcelo Moreno 54. Mercado P. 21. Previtali N. 9. Rodriguez K. 6. Sanchez C. 10. Sornoza J. 58. Sosa J.	27. Bittolo M. 16. Cabral R. 29. Di Cesare M. 21. Dominguez F. 15. Heredia L. 26. Herrera J. 20. Lanzillotta F. (G) 30. Minissale P. 11. Nuss T. 3. Sanchez L. 14. Vera G. 10. Veron G.
Coaches
Anselmi M.	Milito G.

Preview

Recent matches Independiente del Valle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Argentinos Juniors is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Independiente del Valle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Independiente del Valle have a series of home games.

In this match Independiente del Valle is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente del Valle won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.06.23	Independiente del Valle - El Nacional	3:4 ✺
11.06.23	Orense - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.06.23	Independiente del Valle - Corinthians	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.06.23	Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWL
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.06.23	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	3:1 ✺
12.06.23	Vélez Sársfield - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.06.23	Argentinos Juniors - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.06.23	Argentinos Juniors - Platense	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.04.23	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente del Valle	1:0

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