Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Independiente del Valle		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.1
	1.87	3.6	4.1
	1.85	3.61	4.56
	1.75	3.25	4
	1.85	3.55	4.25	Watch
	1.84	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.96)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	4.23 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
51%

Draw
26.9%

Corinthians
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.5%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Independiente del Valle - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente del Valle will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pinargote Lara K. D. (G) 80. Ortiz J. 5. Schunke R. 4. Landazuri A. 13. Fernandez M. 16. Pellerano C. (C) 7. Alcivar J. 51. Medina Y. 8. Faravelli L. 10. Sornoza J. 11. Hoyos M.	12. Cassio (C) 25. Bruno Mendez 4. Carlos G. d. N. S. 34. Murillo 21. Matheus Bidu 23. Fagner 8. Renato Augusto 5. Fausto Vera 7. Maycon 9. Yuri Alberto 10. Roger Guedes
Substitutes
31. Cabezas E. 15. Caicedo B. 14. Carabajal M. 17. Cortez G. 19. Diaz L. 18. Marcelo Moreno 54. Mercado P. 50. Minda A. 55. Paez K. 21. Previtali N. 9. Rodriguez K. 12. Villa A. (G)	28. Adson 26. Biro 14. Caetano 22. Carlos Miguel (G) 6. Fabio Santos 41. Felipe Augusto 20. Giuliano 30. Matheus Araujo 27. Pedro Henrique 2. Rafael Ramos 29. Roni 33. Ruan O.
Coaches
Anselmi M.	Luxemburgo V.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Corinthians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Independiente del Valle is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente del Valle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente del Valle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.06.23	Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.05.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	Independiente del Valle - Guayaquil City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
03.06.23	América Mineiro - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
31.05.23	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	3:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.05.23	Corinthians - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	Argentinos Juniors - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.05.23	Flamengo - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Corinthians - Independiente del Valle	1:2
Copa Sudamericana
25.09.19	Independiente del Valle - Corinthians	2:2
18.09.19	Corinthians - Independiente del Valle	0:2

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