The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 65%
Draw 21.7%
Emelec 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
21.1%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.5%
19.9%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Independiente del Valle - Emelec Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 4. Espinoza J. 5. Schunke R. (C) 23. Viacava J. 15. Cortez G. 32. Mendez J. 28. Quintana H. 55. Guagua D. 50. Angulo J. 31. Pata E. 11. Perello M.
12. Ortiz P. (G) 14. Caicedo R. 27. Leon F. (C) 4. Segura E. 51. Valencia S. 16. Quintero S. 6. Griffith V. 5. Mina A. 8. Napoli G. 19. Ruiz J. 7. Klimowicz L.
Substitutes
6. Alcivar J. 12. Bores E. (G) 16. Briones R. 14. Carabajal M. 19. Loor L. 56. Quintero E. 99. Reasco D. 17. Rodriguez A. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 10. Sornoza J. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A.
17. Ayovi J. 18. Carabali M. 21. Cevallos J. 15. Fragozo L. 2. Leguizamon A. 25. Narvaez R. 9. Neris J. 10. Pizzini F. 28. Tobar B. 1. Valero M. (G) 24. Viteri A.
Coaches
Papa J.
Nasuti C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Caicedo R. (Own goal),
29', 2 - 0, Perello M. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Pata E. ⚽, Quintana H. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Schunke R. ↓, Carabajal M. ↑,
46', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
46', Griffith V. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
46', Napoli G. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Klimowicz L. ⚽,
57', Espinoza J. 🟨,
57', Fragozo L. 🟨,
57', Perello M. 🟨,
76', Perello M. ↓, Quintero E. ↑,
76', Quintana H. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
76', Quintero S. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
76', Mina A. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Quintero E. (A),
80', 5 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽, Guagua D. (A),
81', Angulo J. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
82', Klimowicz L. ↓, Tobar B. ↑,
90+1', 6 - 1, Vasquez Y. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2.
Ind del Valle is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Emelec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ind del Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ind del Valle is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
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Quintana A. (G) 
Espinoza J. 
Schunke R. (C) 
Viacava J. 
Quintana H. 
Griffith V. 
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