Match Info

Date: 16 March 2021, Tuesday


	Independiente del Valle		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	13	Watch
	1.25	5.75	10
	1.35	4.8	8	Watch
	1.23	5.8	11
	1.22	6.13	13.51
	1.24	5.8	12	Watch
	1.24	6.05	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.4)	5.83 ↑ (4.1)	11.22 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
75.5%

Draw
16.1%

Unión Española
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22.3%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

12.3%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-39.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente del Valle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Española could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente del Valle - Unión Española Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Unión Española could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Independiente del Valle have a series of guest games.

In this match Independiente del Valle is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente del Valle won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente del Valle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.03.21	SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle	3:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.03.21	Unión Española - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.03.21	Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa	2:0 ✺
27.02.21	Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle	3:1 ✺
21.02.21	Orense - Independiente del Valle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL
- Unión Española
Copa Libertadores
09.03.21	Unión Española - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
15.02.21	Cobresal - Unión Española	4:1 ✺
10.02.21	Unión Española - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
06.02.21	Universidad de Chile - Unión Española	3:0 ✺
31.01.21	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
09.03.21	Unión Española - Independiente del Valle	1:0
09.04.14	Unión Española - Independiente del Valle	4:5
18.02.14	Independiente del Valle - Unión Española	2:2

Upcoming Matches