Match Info

Date: 7 March 2020, Saturday


	Independiente del Valle		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.5	3.05	2.7
	2.47	3.09	2.55
	2.6	3.23	2.75
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3.4	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.1)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.85 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
38.3%

Draw
29.4%

Universidad Católica
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

20.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente del Valle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores
04.03.20	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	0:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.03.20	Independiente del Valle - Olmedo	1:2 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
26.02.20	Flamengo - Independiente del Valle	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.02.20	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
19.02.20	Independiente del Valle - Flamengo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLLWT
- Universidad Católica
Copa Libertadores
03.03.20	Internacional RS - Universidad Católica	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.03.20	Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
28.02.20	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.02.20	Universidad Católica - Lanús	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.02.20	Universidad Católica - Orense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.08.19	Universidad Católica - Independiente del Valle	0:1
Copa Sudamericana
30.05.19	Universidad Católica - Independiente del Valle	3:2
23.05.19	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica	5:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.04.19	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica	2:1
07.10.18	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica	1:3
17.09.18	Universidad Católica - Independiente del Valle	1:2
11.06.18	Universidad Católica - Independiente del Valle	1:1

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