Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 24

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	LDU Quito		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.80	3.10	2.25
	2.78	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.94	3.36	2.49
	2.89	3.25	2.44	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.3
	2.88	3.34	2.37	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.5)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	2.38 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
32.9%

Draw
28.5%

Independiente del Valle
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.8%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 44. Segovia L. 4. Ade R. (C) 67. Carabali J. 7. Redes R. 20. Cornejo F. 8. Pretell J. 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 23. Quinonez Y. 13. Corozo J. 11. Estrada M.	1. Quintana A. (G) 4. Espinoza J. 5. Schunke R. (C) 23. Viacava J. 15. Cortez G. 32. Mendez J. 11. Perello M. 55. Guagua D. 16. Briones R. 9. Gonzalez C. 50. Angulo J.
Substitutes
30. Allala Menendez G. F. 21. Castillo E. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 32. Gomez A. 99. Luna Tobar C. 27. Mina R. 3. Mina R. 25. Ortiz P. 31. Rodriguez J. 26. Zambrano I.	6. Alcivar J. 14. Carabajal M. 8. Ochoa Y. 31. Pata E. 70. Peralta M. (G) 28. Quintana H. 56. Quintero E. 99. Reasco D. 17. Rodriguez A. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Papa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽,
37', Estrada M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Angulo J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
46', Schunke R. ↓, Carabajal M. ↑,
46', Corozo J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
46', Redes R. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
61', Gonzalez C. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
71', Perello M. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
71', Guagua D. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
74', Cornejo F. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Briones R. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

Ind del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 2.

LDU Quito is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ind del Valle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.08.26	LDU Quito - Delfín	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
30.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	6:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWTL
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Orense - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
22.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario	3:0 ✺
19.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Emelec	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.04.26	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	0:2
10.12.25	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	0:0
28.11.25	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	2:1
22.06.25	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	1:1
22.02.25	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:1
14.12.24	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:0
07.12.24	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	3:0

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