Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 15 December 2022, Thursday


	Ingolstadt		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.88
	3.55	3.9	1.78
	3.3	3.55	1.94
	3.84	4.06	1.73
	3.5	3.4	1.88
	3.6	3.75	1.82	Watch
	3.35	3.65	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (4.08)	3.67 ↓ (3.74)	1.86 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
26.1%

Draw
24.8%

Greuther Fürth
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.2%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

23.6%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greuther Fürth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Ingolstadt - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Fürth will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fürth: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 2.

Recent matches Ingolstadt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fürth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Fürth is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
12.11.22	Duisburg - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
08.11.22	Ingolstadt - Hallescher	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Verl - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Ingolstadt - Viktoria Köln	1:3 ✺
23.10.22	Oldenburg - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
13.11.22	Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
09.11.22	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Eintracht Braunschweig - Greuther Fürth	0:1 ✺
28.10.22	Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Heidenheim - Greuther Fürth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.07.22	Greuther Fürth - Ingolstadt	3:1
17.07.21	Ingolstadt - Greuther Fürth	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
29.01.19	Greuther Fürth - Ingolstadt	0:1
10.08.18	Ingolstadt - Greuther Fürth	1:1
03.02.18	Ingolstadt - Greuther Fürth	3:0
German DFB Pokal
24.10.17	Greuther Fürth - Ingolstadt	1:3
German 2 Bundesliga
25.08.17	Greuther Fürth - Ingolstadt	0:1

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