Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Ingolstadt		Hannover

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.25	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.32
	3	3.15	2.39
	3.15	3.39	2.41
	3	3.2	2.3
	3.1	3.35	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.73)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	2.31 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
30.5%

Draw
28.4%

Hannover
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

27.9%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

20.2%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ingolstadt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hannover could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ingolstadt - Hannover Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 15).

Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (61.87%), has project points - 25, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (87%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hannover has the most likely position - 15 (14.09%), has project points - 40, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ingolstadt is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hannover is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hannover will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 2 Bundesliga
04.12.21	Hansa Rostock - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Hamburger SV - Ingolstadt	3:0 ✺
21.11.21	Ingolstadt - Karlsruher	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Paderborn - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Ingolstadt - Jahn Regensburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTLL
- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
05.12.21	Hannover - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
27.11.21	Karlsruher - Hannover	4:0 ✺
19.11.21	Hannover - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
06.11.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Hannover - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
23.04.16	Ingolstadt - Hannover	2:2
28.11.15	Hannover - Ingolstadt	4:0

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