Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Hamburger SV		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.5	7	Watch
	1.41	4.7	7
	1.43	4.8	6.2
	1.46	4.78	7.32
	1.4	4.4	7
	1.44	4.9	6.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)	4.65 ↑ (4.22)	6.94 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
66.1%

Draw
20.3%

Ingolstadt
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

22%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

18%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger SV's performance.

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamburger SV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Hamburger SV - Ingolstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Hamburg has the most likely position - 1 (15.64%), has project points - 58, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (36%), has a chance of win league (16%).

Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (53.89%), has project points - 26, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (80%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hamburg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ingolstadt has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hamburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hamburg is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hamburg to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
20.11.21	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	4:1 ✺
06.11.21	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
26.10.21	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	1:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
22.10.21	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTWW
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 2 Bundesliga
21.11.21	Ingolstadt - Karlsruher	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Paderborn - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Ingolstadt - Jahn Regensburg	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
26.10.21	Borussia Dortmund - Ingolstadt	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
22.10.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.05.19	Hamburger SV - Ingolstadt	0:3
01.12.18	Ingolstadt - Hamburger SV	1:2
German Bundesliga
28.01.17	Ingolstadt - Hamburger SV	3:1
27.08.16	Hamburger SV - Ingolstadt	1:1
27.02.16	Hamburger SV - Ingolstadt	1:1
22.09.15	Ingolstadt - Hamburger SV	0:1

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