The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ingolstadt 33.3%
Draw 28.7%
Karlsruher 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
28.5%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
21%
55.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ingolstadt that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+17.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlsruher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ingolstadt - Karlsruher Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 10).
Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (54%), has project points - 27, has currently - 5, has a good chance of relegated (78%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Karlsruher has the most likely position - 12 (9.04%), has project points - 45, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ingolstadt has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Karlsruher is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Karlsruher will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.
Watch
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