The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paderborn 62.3%
Draw 22%
Ingolstadt 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.8%
23.3%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.1%
19.1%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paderborn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Paderborn - Ingolstadt Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
Paderborn has the most likely position - 4 (10.19%), has project points - 53, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (46.25%), has project points - 28, has currently - 5, has a good chance of relegated (74%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Paderborn is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ingolstadt is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ingolstadt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Paderborn is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.
Watch
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