Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Ingolstadt		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.37	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.35	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.18
	2.9	3.4	2.31
	3.08	3.52	2.39
	3.1	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3	3.52	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (4.04)	3.42 ↓ (3.53)	2.29 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
31.1%

Draw
27.7%

St. Pauli
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

26.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ingolstadt's performance.

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Ingolstadt - St. Pauli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 4).

Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 17 (47.65%), has project points - 27, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

St. Pauli has the most likely position - 5 (19.98%), has project points - 56, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has quality 31, importance 38, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

St. Pauli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 2 Bundesliga
19.02.22	Werder Bremen - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Ingolstadt - Sandhausen	0:0 ✺
04.02.22	Nürnberg - Ingolstadt	0:5 ✺
22.01.22	Ingolstadt - Darmstadt	0:2 ✺
16.01.22	Heidenheim - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWLL
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
20.02.22	St. Pauli - Hannover	0:3 ✺
12.02.22	Jahn Regensburg - St. Pauli	2:3 ✺
05.02.22	St. Pauli - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
21.01.22	Hamburger SV - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.01.22	St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.21	St. Pauli - Ingolstadt	4:1
Club Friendly
07.07.19	Ingolstadt - St. Pauli	0:3
German 2 Bundesliga
23.02.19	St. Pauli - Ingolstadt	1:0
21.09.18	Ingolstadt - St. Pauli	0:1
17.02.18	Ingolstadt - St. Pauli	0:1
16.09.17	St. Pauli - Ingolstadt	0:4
17.12.14	Ingolstadt - St. Pauli	2:1

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