The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jahn Regensburg 25.5%
Draw 25%
St. Pauli 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
26.1%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
26.6%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jahn Regensburg's form might have worsened.
St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Pauli's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jahn Regensburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pauli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.3%
16.3%
74.4%
Jahn Regensburg - St. Pauli Predictions
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 4 - 9.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 61.4% – 87.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 11).
Regensburg has the most likely position - 17 (11.43%), has project points - 38, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
St. Pauli has the most likely position - 6 (8.61%), has project points - 50, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has small quality30, importance33, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 1.
Regensburg has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches St. Pauli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
St. Pauli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
St. Pauli will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-5.
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