Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Chase Stadium (Fort Lauderdale, FL)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Inter Miami		St. Louis City

	1	X	2
	1.48	5	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4.5	5.5
	1.5	4.75	6	Watch
	1.51	4.9	5.95
	1.51	4.86	5.95
	1.44	4.8	5.8
	1.49	4.9	5.65	Watch
	1.48	4.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.38)	4.81 ↓ (4.93)	5.78 ↓ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Miami
63.8%

Draw
19.7%

St. Louis City
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

19.1%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

18.2%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	4.8%	14.3%

Inter Miami - St. Louis City Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Callender D. (G) 57. Weigandt M. 6. Aviles T. 27. Kryvtsov S. 18. Alba J. 7. Rojas M. 5. Busquets S. 55. Redondo Solari F. 10. Messi L. 9. Suarez L. 16. Taylor R.	1. Burki R. (G) 14. Totland T. 26. Parker T. 4. Nilsson J. 13. Markanich A. 10. Lowen E. 19. Vassilev I. 8. Durkin C. 9. Joao Klauss 21. Alm R. 12. Pompeu C.
Substitutes
32. Allen N. 8. Campana L. 30. Cremaschi B. 13. dos Santos C. J. (G) 24. Gressel J. 73. Leonardo Afonso 33. Negri F. 41. Ruiz D. 15. Sailor R.	16. Adeniran S. 6. Blom N. 22. Hiebert K. 85. Kijima H. 39. Lundt B. (G) 2. Nerwinski J. 29. Thorisson N. 20. Watts A. 15. Yaro J.
Coaches
Martino G.	Carnell B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Durkin C. ⚽, Pompeu C. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Messi L. ⚽, Alba J. (A),
27', Alm R. ↓, Kijima H. ↑,
30', Redondo Solari F. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
41', 1 - 2, Vassilev I. ⚽, Kijima H. (A), Joao Klauss (A2)
45+2', 2 - 2, Suarez L. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Messi L. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kryvtsov S. ↓, Sailor R. ↑,
61', Parker T. 🟨,
67', Joao Klauss ↓, Adeniran S. ↑,
69', 2 - 3, Suarez L. (Own goal),
70', Rojas M. ↓, Gressel J. ↑,
70', Taylor R. ↓, Campana L. ↑,
82', Lowen E. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
82', Vassilev I. ↓, Hiebert K. ↑,
87', 3 - 3, Alba J. ⚽, Gressel J. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

Inter Miami is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St. Louis City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

St. Louis City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Inter Miami is a favorite.

There will not play in Inter Miami: Farias F. (Knee Injury) Freire N. (Injury) Gomez D. (Injury) Robinson R. (Injury)

There will not play in St. Louis City: Durkin C. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Inter Miami: Fray I. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Inter Miami won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Miami
MLS
29.05.24	Inter Miami - Atlanta United	1:3 ✺
25.05.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Inter Miami	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Inter Miami - DC United	1:0 ✺
15.05.24	Orlando City - Inter Miami	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	CF Montréal - Inter Miami	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWTW
- St. Louis City SC
MLS
25.05.24	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Cincinnati - St. Louis City	3:1 ✺
15.05.24	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	St. Louis City - Chicago Fire	3:1 ✺
04.05.24	Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
15.07.23	St. Louis City - Inter Miami	3:0

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