Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 0h 38m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Albania	12:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	12:30	DAZN
Bangladesh	17:30	Begin
Belarus	14:30	Sport TV
Belgium	12:30	DAZN 1
Bolivia	07:30	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	08:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	13:30	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	18:30	MyTV
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network
China	19:30	Migu
Croatia	12:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	13:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	12:30	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	12:30	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	06:30	ESPN
Estonia	13:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	13:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	12:30	DAZN France
Germany	12:30	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	19:30	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	12:30	Match 4
India	17:00	ZEE5
Indonesia	18:30	Vidio
Iraq	14:30	Almanasa
Israel	13:30	Sport 2
Italy	12:30	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	20:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	12:30	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
Kuwait	14:30	Shasha
Lithuania	13:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	19:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	19:30	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	16:30	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	12:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	05:30	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	12:30	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	00:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	12:30	VG+
Peru	06:30	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	12:30	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	13:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	14:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	14:30	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	12:30	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	12:30	Sport 1, Voyo
South Africa	13:30	SuperSport Football
South Korea	20:30	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	12:30	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar 4, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3, Orange Futbol 3
Suriname	08:30	SCCN
Sweden	12:30	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	12:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	18:30	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	12:30	Diwan Sport
Turkey	14:30	S Sport 2
Ukraine	13:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	11:30	DAZN
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+, ESPN


	Inter Milan		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7	Watch
	1.36	5.50	7.25
	1.35	5.2	7.8
	1.37	5.8	8.5
	1.38	5.6	7.6	Watch
	1.33	5.7	8.4
	1.37	5.87	8.5
	1.34	5.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	5.62 ↑ (5)	7.81 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
70.7%

Draw
17.1%

Fiorentina
12.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.6%

18.9%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

18.2%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.9%	0%	3.1%

Inter Milan - Fiorentina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (31 of 32 users predict this - 96.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.86% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 18th in the Relegation - Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 3.

Inter is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Fiorentina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Inter may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Inter has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Inter holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Inter: Jones C. (Thigh Injury) Luis Henrique (Thigh Injury) Martinez L. (Thigh Injury) Pavard B. (Thigh Injury) Spinacce M. (Inactive) Stones J. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Fiorentina: Atta A. (Abdominal strain) Parisi F. (Knee Injury) Ranieri L. (Leg Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Inter in today's match, at odds of 1.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Inter has recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:23 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Inter against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:8 goals (averaging 2:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	12	19
18	Fiorentina	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 52.92% Fiorentina: 0.25%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Inter Milan - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.26	Bologna - Inter Milan	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Inter Milan - Club Brugge	3:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.10.26	Inter Milan - Parma	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Inter Milan - Lumezzane	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
18.10.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.03.26	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:1
29.10.25	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	3:0
10.02.25	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	2:1
06.02.25	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	3:0
28.01.24	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	0:1
03.09.23	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	4:0
Coppa Italia
24.05.23	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:2

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