Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 24

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	OneFootball TV


	Inter Turku		VPS Vaasa

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.70	7.00	Watch
	1.61	3.75	5.50
	1.61	3.65	4.90	Watch
	1.62	4.07	5.97
	1.68	3.72	5.27	Watch
	1.58	4.00	5.90
	1.60	3.72	5.66	Watch
	1.56	3.65	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.01)	3.78 ↑ (3.33)	5.7 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Turku
58.7%

Draw
24.8%

VPS Vaasa
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Turku's performance.

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VPS Vaasa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Turku that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Turku (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Turku will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huuhtanen E. (G) 18. Saarinen S. 22. Kuittinen L. (C) 6. Ivanov R. 2. Niska J. 7. Sjogrell H. 14. Laine J. 17. Ampofo B. 16. Jephta C. 10. Conteh A. 8. Yli-Kokko J.	41. Jalloh M. (G) 3. Simpson R. 6. Okereke E. 19. Haukioja M. (C) 23. Niemi M. 2. Mane L. 8. Lima P. 24. Daoussi Y. 7. Turfkruier J. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 13. Ogunniyi O.
Substitutes
4. Ahiabu P. 30. Amankwah Y. 11. Botue J. 5. Granlund A. 19. Jarvinen I. 34. Prokop L. 33. Suso M. 24. Tauriainen J. 12. Vuorjoki E. (G)	21. Adu-Boahen A. 26. Forsbacka R. 9. Holmelund C. 14. Lindholm S. 20. Odhiambo X. 34. Raisanen A. 17. Terrnava D. 30. Vahtera J. 12. Vayrynen L. (G)
Coaches
Vasara V.	Nuorela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ivanov R. 🟨,
39', Kouassivi-Benissan K. 🟨,
40', Turfkruier J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Yli-Kokko J. ↓, Suso M. ↑,
62', Saarinen S. ↓, Tauriainen J. ↑,
65', Daoussi Y. ↓, Lindholm S. ↑,
69', Simpson R. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Sjogrell H. ⚽,
73', Laine J. ↓, Ahiabu P. ↑,
73', Sjogrell H. ↓, Jarvinen I. ↑,
77', Niemi M. ↓, Odhiambo X. ↑,
77', Turfkruier J. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
83', Ogunniyi O. ↓, Holmelund C. ↑,
83', Lima P. ↓, Vahtera J. ↑,
84', Ivanov R. ↓, Amankwah Y. ↑,
88', Ahiabu P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Inter Turku may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter Turku is considered a favorite.

There will not play in VPS: Ronnberg V. (Inactive)

There are questionable in VPS: Muzinga J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter Turku won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.8:1.7).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

Inter Turku: 43.65%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter Turku	26	13	10	3	32:18	14	49
6	VPS	26	10	6	10	30:31	-1	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Turku
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.09.26	HJK - Inter Turku	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
05.09.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Copenhagen - Inter Turku	4:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.08.26	TPS - Inter Turku	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLT
- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.09.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	VPS Vaasa - Lahti	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	VPS Vaasa - TPS	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.08.26	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	0:1
Finnish Cup
30.06.26	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	2:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.04.26	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	0:0
31.08.25	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	2:1
19.04.25	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	0:2
Club Friendly
12.03.25	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	4:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.06.24	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	3:1

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