Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 20

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Lemonsoft Stadion (Vaasa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	VPS Vaasa		TPS

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.71	3.80	4.50
	1.72	3.6	4.4
	1.78	3.96	4.82
	1.72	3.88	4.65	Watch
	1.71	3.95	4.75
	1.74	3.89	4.22	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)	3.81 ↓ (3.87)	4.48 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VPS Vaasa
54.5%

Draw
24.6%

TPS
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

VPS Vaasa - TPS Predictions

Users Predictions: VPS Vaasa will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Jalloh M. (G) 13. Ogunniyi O. 6. Okereke E. 19. Haukioja M. (C) 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 2. Mane L. 8. Lima P. 7. Turfkruier J. 34. Raisanen A. 14. Lindholm S. 11. Muzinga J.	1. Henriksson E. (G) 2. Haggstrom O. 14. Hradecky M. 15. Azongnitode C. 24. Talo N. 6. Juvanteny P. 22. Zaal T. 10. Konkkola M. 29. Muzaci A. (C) 11. Vauhkonen E. 99. Visser K.
Substitutes
24. Daoussi Y. 9. Holmelund C. 23. Niemi M. 20. Odhiambo X. 25. Salomaa H. 3. Simpson R. 17. Terrnava D. 30. Vahtera J. 12. Vayrynen L. (G)	7. Harjanne R. 30. Harju N. (G) 26. Ikonen L. 9. Ivanovic L. 20. Kauppila M. 17. Sihvonen A. 28. Vakiparta T. 44. Veinbergs N.
Coaches
Nuorela J.	Pinol I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', Okereke E. 🟨,
38', Muzinga J. ↓, Salomaa H. ↑,
45', 0 - 1, Zaal T. ⚽, Juvanteny P. (A),
45+2', Ogunniyi O. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Muzaci A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Raisanen A. ↓, Odhiambo X. ↑,
52', Azongnitode C. 🟨,
53', Juvanteny P. 🟨,
61', Talo N. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
62', Odhiambo X. 🟨,
75', Visser K. ↓, Veinbergs N. ↑,
75', Juvanteny P. ↓, Ikonen L. ↑,
75', Konkkola M. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Odhiambo X. ⚽, Salomaa H. (A),
79', Odhiambo X. ↓, Terrnava D. ↑,
79', Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↓, Holmelund C. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Veinbergs N. ⚽, Kauppila M. (A),
86', Lindholm S. ↓, Daoussi Y. ↑,
87', Okereke E. 🟨,
90', Zaal T. ↓, Vakiparta T. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, VPS is considered a favorite.

There will not play in TPS: Anini S. (Yellow Cards) Karkulowski T. (Inactive) Turkki E. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, VPS won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

VPS: 0.49%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	VPS	26	10	6	10	30:31	-1	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.08.26	FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa	1:3 ✺
02.08.26	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	HJK - VPS Vaasa	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	VPS Vaasa - SJK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- TPS
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - TPS	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	TPS - IFK Mariehamn	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	HJK - TPS	1:0 ✺
20.07.26	TPS - Ilves	1:3 ✺
11.07.26	TPS - Oulu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.05.26	TPS - VPS Vaasa	1:0
Club Friendly
14.03.26	TPS - VPS Vaasa	1:0
Finnish Ykkonen
08.10.21	TPS - VPS Vaasa	1:3
01.09.21	VPS Vaasa - TPS	1:2
05.05.21	TPS - VPS Vaasa	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.08.18	TPS - VPS Vaasa	4:1
04.07.18	VPS Vaasa - TPS	2:0

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