Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Intercity		Granada B

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.66	3.3	4.6
	1.7	3.4	5	Watch
	1.69	3.49	5.34
	1.5	3.4	5.5
	1.67	3.48	5.18
	1.67	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.5)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	5.02 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
55.2%

Draw
26.6%

Granada B
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

25.7%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

17.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Granada B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Intercity that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granada B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Intercity - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 2. Jaime G. 14. Murria V. 16. Galvez R. 3. Romero C. 23. Pinan A. 4. Undabarrena E. (C) 10. Fernandez X. 11. Roige Rodriguez P. 17. Moreno S. 19. Traore M.	13. Tristan P. (G) 2. Castro R. 4. Van Rijn N. 23. Lopez D. 22. Osei P. 8. Lendinez J. 7. Gonzalez M. 10. Perez C. 29. Mortimer N. 30. Rodelas S. 9. Julito
Substitutes
5. Bellotti M. 22. Camara D. 6. Ceberio J. 9. Etxaniz J. 1. Herrera M. (G) 27. Konare U. 20. Mendibe M. 29. Paredes A. 15. Perez A. 25. Salomen J. (G) 7. Soldevila O. 12. Vazquez L.	36. Bello E. 20. Clavijo D. 42. Fontana J. (G) 16. Griger A. 18. Gutierrez E. 31. Heredia A. 19. Ibarrondo A. 6. Masllorens J. 37. Soria C.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Intercity is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Granada B has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Granada B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Intercity is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Intercity won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Intercity won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.01.24	Córdoba - Intercity	1:0 ✺
02.01.24	Intercity - Málaga	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Intercity	3:3 ✺
10.12.23	Intercity - Ceuta	3:2 ✺
02.12.23	Intercity - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWL
- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.24	Mérida AD - Granada B	1:0 ✺
04.01.24	Granada B - Melilla	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Recreativo Huelva - Granada B	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Granada B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Atlético Madrid B - Granada B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.09.23	Granada B - Intercity	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.03.22	Intercity - Granada B	1:0
31.10.21	Granada B - Intercity	3:3

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