Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Germany	Sport 1+
Netherlands	ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV


	Internacional RS		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.5	3.2	2.95
	2.58	3.17	3.03
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.48	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.32)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	2.87 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
37.8%

Draw
29.6%

River Plate Montevideo
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.2%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Internacional RS - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 4 - 50%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rochet S. (G) 16. Bustos F. 44. Vitao 25. Mercado G. 6. Rene 27. Mauricio 30. Johnny 20. Aranguiz C. 11. Wanderson 13. Valencia E. 10. Alan Patrick	1. Armani F. (G) 20. Casco M. 14. Gonzalez L. 17. Diaz P. 13. Diaz E. H. 24. Perez E. (C) 29. Aliendro R. 36. Solari P. 11. de la Cruz N. 21. Barco E. 18. Beltran L.
Substitutes
8. Bruno Henrique 14. de Pena C. 23. Gabriel 42. Gabriel Barros 22. Hernandez N. 21. Igor Gomes 38. Jean Dias 31. John Victor (G) 45. Lucca 9. Luiz Adriano 41. Matheus Dias 28. Pedro Henrique	33. Centurion E. (G) 47. Colidio F. 22. Kranevitter M. 9. Miguel Borja 38. Mori R. 10. Nacho Fernandez 8. Palavecino A. 26. Paradela J. 2. Rojas R. 25. Rondon S. 31. Simon S. 7. Suarez M.
Coaches
Coudet E.	Demichelis M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Internacional is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches River Plate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Internacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Internacional won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Internacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
05.08.23	Internacional RS - Corinthians	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.08.23	River Plate Montevideo - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.23	Internacional RS - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	Internacional RS - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLTT
- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
01.08.23	River Plate Montevideo - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.07.23	Danubio - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	River Plate Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
10.07.23	Montevideo City Torque - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
01.08.23	River Plate Montevideo - Internacional RS	2:1
07.05.19	River Plate Montevideo - Internacional RS	2:2
03.04.19	Internacional RS - River Plate Montevideo	2:2

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