Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Chile	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1, Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	beIN Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Internacional RS		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	9.5	Watch
	1.41	4.2	8.5
	1.4	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.43	4.38	9.34
	1.42	4.28	8.94	Watch
	1.35	4	9	Watch
	1.39	4.3	8.8	Watch
	1.4	4.2	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.53)	4.24 ↑ (3.75)	8.89 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
67.2%

Draw
22.2%

Rosario Central
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.4%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23.8%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional RS's performance.

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Internacional RS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Internacional RS - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: Internacional RS will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) 16. Bustos F. 25. Mercado G. 4. Robert Renan 6. Rene 40. Romulo 8. Bruno Henrique 10. Alan Patrick (C) 21. Wesley Ribeiro 13. Valencia E. 19. Borre R.	1. Broun J. (G) 32. Coronel E. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 2. Quintana C. 3. Sandez A. 8. Gomez J. 16. Martinez M. 5. Ibarra F. 25. Copetti E. 9. Ruben M. 13. Campaz J.
Substitutes
31. Alario L. 24. Anthoni (G) 26. Bernabei A. 15. Bruno Gomes 34. Carvalho Teixeira G. 48. Drummond L. 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 47. Gustavo Prado 7. Hyoran 3. Igor Gomes 41. Matheus Dias	33. Barbieri M. 48. Cervera T. 17. Giaccone L. 24. Gimenez J. 18. Lo Celso F. 7. Lovera M. 10. Malcorra I. 4. Martinez D. 44. Modica A. 45. Ortiz K. 21. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 20. Werner A. (G)
Coaches
Roger Machado	Russo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Sandez A. ⚽, Mallo Blanco F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rene ↓, Bernabei A. ↑,
46', Romulo ↓, Bruno Gomes ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Alan Patrick ⚽,
73', Ruben M. ↓, Malcorra I. ↑,
73', Wesley Ribeiro ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
80', Bruno Henrique ↓, Carvalho Teixeira G. ↑,
81', Ibarra F. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
81', Gomez J. ↓, Rodriguez Armoa A. F. ↑,
85', Campaz J. 🟨,
89', Alan Patrick ↓, Alario L. ↑,
89', Campaz J. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
89', Copetti E. ↓, Modica A. ↑,
90+7', Rochet S. 🟨,
90+8', Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 🟨,
90+8', Alario L. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Internacional has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rosario is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Internacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rosario have a series of home games.

In this match Internacional is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Internacional won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
20.07.24	Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.07.24	Rosario Central - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.07.24	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
10.07.24	Internacional RS - Juventude	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.07.24	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.07.24	Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín	4:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.07.24	Rosario Central - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.07.24	Rosario Central - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.06.24	Godoy Cruz - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Rosario Central - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
16.07.24	Rosario Central - Internacional RS	1:0

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