Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DGO
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	beIN Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz


	Rosario Central		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.88	3	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.9
	2.7	2.8	2.9	Watch
	2.88	2.75	3.08
	2.75	2.88	2.94	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.71	2.86	2.86	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.62)	2.82 ↓ (3.11)	2.93 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
34.6%

Draw
33.3%

Internacional RS
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

30%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	52.6%	31.6%

Rosario Central - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Internacional will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broun J. (G) 32. Coronel E. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 2. Quintana C. 3. Sandez A. 7. Lovera M. 5. Ibarra F. 16. Martinez M. 13. Campaz J. 9. Ruben M. 25. Copetti E.	1. Rochet S. (G) 16. Bustos F. 44. Vitao 25. Mercado G. 6. Rene 40. Romulo 15. Bruno Gomes 8. Bruno Henrique 10. Alan Patrick (C) 21. Wesley Ribeiro 31. Alario L.
Substitutes
48. Cervera T. 17. Giaccone L. 24. Gimenez J. 8. Gomez J. 6. Komar J. 18. Lo Celso F. 10. Malcorra I. 4. Martinez D. 44. Modica A. 45. Ortiz K. 21. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 20. Werner A. (G)	24. Anthoni (G) 26. Bernabei A. 34. Carvalho Teixeira G. 48. Drummond L. 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 47. Gustavo Prado 7. Hyoran 3. Igor Gomes 45. Lucca 41. Matheus Dias 4. Robert Renan
Coaches
Russo M.	Pablo de Toledo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Vitao ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
32', Campaz J. 🟨,
37', Wesley Ribeiro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lovera M. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Campaz J. ⚽, Ibarra F. (A),
76', Gomez J. 🟨,
78', Wesley Ribeiro ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
83', Ruben M. ↓, Modica A. ↑,
85', Coronel E. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
90+1', Alario L. ↓, Lucca ↑,
90+2', Ibarra F. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
90+2', Campaz J. ↓, Rodriguez Armoa A. F. ↑,
90+5', Igor Gomes 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Rosario is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Internacional is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rosario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Copa Argentina
08.07.24	Rosario Central - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.06.24	Godoy Cruz - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Rosario Central - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.05.24	Deportivo Riestra - Rosario Central	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTTLW
- Internacional RS
Copa do Brasil
13.07.24	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
10.07.24	Internacional RS - Juventude	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.07.24	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
04.07.24	Fluminense - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Criciúma - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTT

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