The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama 50.4%
Draw 27.4%
Athletico Paranaense 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
28.6%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
27.2%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
6.7%
6.7%
Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vasco da Gama will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 6. Lucas Piton 25. Hugo Moura 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 28. Adson 10. Rojas J. 11. Andres Gomez 77. Spinelli C.
23. Santos (C) 22. Teran C. 33. Aguirre F. 4. Arthur Dias 2. Gilberto Junior 27. Portilla J. 14. Luiz Gustavo 7. Mendoza S. 48. Bruninho 8. Joao Cruz 70. Renan Peixoto
Substitutes
20. Brenner 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 18. Hinestroza M. 98. JP 43. Lucas Freitas 9. Matheus Franca 17. Moreira N. 83. Ramon Rique 82. Riquelme Avellar 4. Saldivia A. 3. Tche Tche
47. Chiqueti 26. Claudinho 63. Diogo Riquelme 53. Dudu Kogitzki 5. Felipinho 11. Isaac 16. Jadson 3. Leo 6. Leo Derik 21. Leozinho 1. Mycael (G) 10. Zapelli B.
Coaches
Renato Gaucho
Hellmann O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Portilla J. 🟨,
7', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
11', Teran C. ↓, Leo Derik ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Thiago Mendes ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Rojas J. 🟨,
64', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Felipinho ↑,
69', Rojas J. ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
69', Robert Renan 🟨,
73', Bruninho ↓, Chiqueti ↑,
73', Joao Cruz ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
73', Renan Peixoto ↓, Isaac ↑,
77', Adson ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
77', Spinelli C. ↓, Brenner ↑,
90', Andres Gomez 🟨,
90+1', Lucas Piton ↓, Lucas Freitas ↑,
90+1', Andres Gomez ↓, Ramon Rique ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
Vasco is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Vasco has had a series of away games.
Recently, Athletico PR has had a series of home games.
In this match, Vasco is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Vasco: Cauan Barros
(Yellow Cards)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
Paulo Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Athletico PR: Benavidez G.
(Yellow Cards)
Esquivel L.
(Red Card)
Jadson
(Injury)
Julimar
(Injury)
Viveros K.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Vasco: Cuiabano
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).