Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 20

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Doce de Octubre (Tulua)

Referee: Palencia M. (Col)


	Internacional de Palmira		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	8.5	4	1.45
	7.5	4	1.42
	8.5	4.1	1.4
	10	4	1.37
	9.52	3.85	1.41
	9.5	3.75	1.38
	8.5	4.1	1.39	Watch
	8	4	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.75 ↑ (2.98)	3.98 ↑ (2.91)	1.4 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Palmira
10.6%

Draw
23.3%

Rionegro Águilas
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31.5%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

30.6%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Internacional de Palmira's form might have worsened.

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rionegro Águilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional de Palmira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-27.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rionegro Águilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.8%	12.8%	74.4%

Internacional de Palmira - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Inter Palmira will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rionegro Águilas: 60.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cortuluá won 2.

Cortuluá has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rionegro Águilas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rionegro Águilas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rionegro Águilas is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cortuluá won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cortuluá won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera A
23.10.22	Junior Barranquilla - Internacional de Palmira	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Internacional de Palmira - Deportes Tolima	0:1 ✺
11.10.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Internacional de Palmira	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Internacional de Palmira - Once Caldas	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLL
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
21.10.22	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
12.10.22	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	2:2 ✺
09.10.22	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
06.10.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
14.05.22	Rionegro Águilas - Internacional de Palmira	2:2
16.08.17	Internacional de Palmira - Rionegro Águilas	1:0
06.03.17	Rionegro Águilas - Internacional de Palmira	0:1
09.09.16	Internacional de Palmira - Rionegro Águilas	0:1
02.04.16	Rionegro Águilas - Internacional de Palmira	2:1
08.11.15	Internacional de Palmira - Rionegro Águilas	0:0
Colombian Copa
29.07.15	Internacional de Palmira - Rionegro Águilas	1:0

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