Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)

Referee: Anderson E. (Sco)


	Inverness		Queens Park

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.7
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.89	3.5	3.7
	1.92	3.69	3.94
	1.8	3.4	3.75
	1.91	3.98	3.82	Watch
	1.86	3.6	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.26)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	3.74 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
49.6%

Draw
25.6%

Queens Park
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.2%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

24.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inverness's performance.

Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queens Park might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inverness that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Inverness - Queens Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Inverness will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Queens Park will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inverness: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ridgers M. (G) 34. Savage R. 6. Devine D. 5. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 4. Kerr C. 38. Samuel A. 7. Gilmour C. 15. Anderson M. 3. Harper C. 9. McKay B. (C) 22. Shaw N.	1. Ferrie C. (G) 15. Tizzard W. 4. Bannon A. 3. Robson T. 16. Bruce C. 8. Thomson J. 18. McKinstry S. 20. Turner J. 2. McPherson B. 11. Thomas D. 9. Paton R.
Substitutes
20. Boyes M. 24. Brooks A. 10. Doran A. 2. Duffy W. 19. Longstaff L. 21. Mackay C. (G) 8. McAllister S. 14. Pepple A. 44. Ujdur N.	38. Callum H. 35. Carse M. 17. Crole J. 31. Kane S. (G) 23. Longridge L. 33. Mauchin Z. 22. Reid L. 24. Scott J. 19. Williamson S.
Coaches
Ferguson D.	Davidson C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inverness won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Inverness could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Inverness will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Inverness won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Inverness won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
27.01.24	Raith Rovers - Inverness	2:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
20.01.24	Inverness - Broomhill	4:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
12.01.24	Inverness - Dundee United	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Ayr United - Inverness	1:3 ✺
02.01.24	Airdrieonians - Inverness	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWL
- Queens Park FC
Scottish Football Championship
27.01.24	Queens Park - Ayr United	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	1:2 ✺
05.01.24	Queens Park - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1 ✺
02.01.24	Partick Thistle - Queens Park	3:2 ✺
30.12.23	Queens Park - Airdrieonians	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
09.12.23	Queens Park - Inverness	1:4
05.08.23	Inverness - Queens Park	1:2
18.03.23	Queens Park - Inverness	2:1
Scottish Cup
31.01.23	Inverness - Queens Park	0:2
Scottish Football Championship
14.01.23	Inverness - Queens Park	0:0
12.11.22	Queens Park - Inverness	2:1
30.07.22	Inverness - Queens Park	1:1

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