Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 5

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)


	Ipswich Town		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	6
	1.53	4.4	6.1
	1.56	4.45	6.11
	1.44	3.8	5.5
	1.52	4.35	6.05	Watch
	1.52	4.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.69)	4.29 ↑ (3.74)	5.96 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
62.2%

Draw
22%

Cardiff City
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.9%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

24.2%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Ipswich Town - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Hladky V. (G) 2. Clarke H. 6. Woolfenden L. 15. Burgess C. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 25. Luongo M. 7. Burns W. 10. Chaplin C. 33. Broadhead N. 27. Hirst G.	13. Runarsson R. A. (G) 38. Ng P. 5. McGuinness M. 4. Goutas D. 17. Collins J. 23. Siopis M. 8. Ralls J. (C) 32. Tanner O. 10. Ramsey A. 22. Meite Y. 16. Grant K.
Substitutes
12. Ball D. 8. Evans L. 20. Hutchinson O. 19. Jackson K. 9. Ladapo F. 24. Scarlett D. 13. Slicker C. (G) 14. Taylor J. 18. Williams B.	18. Adams E. 21. Alnwick J. (G) 27. Colwill R. 9. Etete K. 24. Panzo J. 2. Romeo M. 19. Sawyers R. 12. Ugbo I. 6. Wintle R.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Bulut E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 0.

Ipswich is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cardiff is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ipswich is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ipswich to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League Cup
29.08.23	Reading - Ipswich Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Championship
26.08.23	Ipswich Town - Leeds United	3:4 ✺
19.08.23	Queens Park Rangers - Ipswich Town	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Ipswich Town - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.23	Ipswich Town - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWW
- Cardiff City
English League Cup
29.08.23	Birmingham City - Cardiff City	1:3 ✺
English League Championship
26.08.23	Cardiff City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Leicester City - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Cardiff City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.23	Cardiff City - Colchester United	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.02.18	Ipswich Town - Cardiff City	0:1
31.10.17	Cardiff City - Ipswich Town	3:1
18.03.17	Cardiff City - Ipswich Town	3:1
10.12.16	Ipswich Town - Cardiff City	1:1
12.03.16	Cardiff City - Ipswich Town	1:0
31.10.15	Ipswich Town - Cardiff City	0:0
14.04.15	Ipswich Town - Cardiff City	3:1

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