The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ipswich Town 57.2%
Draw 24.2%
Stoke City 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.3%
23.6%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
22.8%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
9.1%
72.7%
Ipswich Town - Stoke City Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). Stoke will win (votes: 22 - 71%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 55% – 87%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
DC - Stoke (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Stoke (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stoke City will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Stoke (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 14. Taylor J. 5. Matusiwa A. 8. Egeli S. W. 32. Nunez M. 11. Philogene J. 31. Azon I.
1. Johansson V. (G) 40. Talovierov M. 18. Lawal B. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 3. Cresswell A. 22. Tchamadeu J. 10. Bae J. 15. N'Zonzi S. 7. Thomas S. 29. Cisse L. 9. Mubama D.
Substitutes
29. Akpom Ch. 12. Cajuste J. 47. Clarke H. 24. Greaves J. 18. Johnson B. 20. McAteer K. 1. Palmer A. (G) 23. Szmodics S. 15. Young A.
17. Bocat E. 13. Bonham J. (G) 11. Bozenik R. 20. Gallagher S. 23. Gibson B. 42. Manhoef M. 4. Pearson B. 19. Rigo T. 12. Seko T.
Coaches
McKenna K.
Robins M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Philogene J. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Lawal B. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
67', Mubama D. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
67', Cisse L. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
75', Taylor J. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
75', Egeli S. W. ↓, Clarke H. ↑,
75', Azon I. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
80', Matusiwa A. 🟨,
83', Nunez M. ↓, Szmodics S. ↑,
84', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
84', Bae J. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
90', Talovierov M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
In recent matches, Ipswich has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stoke has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Stoke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ipswich is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W.
(Knee Injury)
Clarke H.
(Knee Injury)
Palmer A.
(Calf Injury)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Baker L.
(Inactive)
Phillips A.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).