Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 3

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Scott G. (Eng)


	Leicester City		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	6
	1.55	4.2	5.75
	1.53	4.4	6.25
	1.55	4.49	6.19
	1.4	3.9	6.5
	1.52	4.33	6.1	Watch
	1.54	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)	4.26 ↑ (4.06)	6.11 ↓ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
62.3%

Draw
22.2%

Cardiff City
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

22.9%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

22%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Leicester City - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 5. Doyle C. 25. Ndidi W. 8. Winks H. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 40. Marcal-Madivadua W. 14. Iheanacho K. 10. Mavididi S.	21. Alnwick J. (G) 2. Romeo M. 4. Goutas D. 5. McGuinness M. 14. Bowler J. 6. Wintle R. 8. Ralls J. (C) 11. O'Dowda C. 10. Ramsey A. 12. Ugbo I. 17. Collins J.
Substitutes
11. Albrighton M. 7. Casadei C. 17. Choudhury H. 2. Justin J. 45. Nelson B. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 33. Thomas L. 9. Vardy J. 1. Ward D. (G)	18. Adams E. 9. Etete K. 16. Grant K. 22. Meite Y. 47. Robinson C. 13. Runarsson R. A. (G) 26. Simpson J. 23. Siopis M. 32. Tanner O.
Coaches
Maresca E.	Bulut E.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Leicester have a series of guest games.

In this match Leicester is certain favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Coady C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Hermansen M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Allsop R. (Knock)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
12.08.23	Huddersfield Town - Leicester City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.23	Burton Albion - Leicester City	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
06.08.23	Leicester City - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.23	Liverpool - Leicester City	4:0 ✺
23.07.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWL?
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
12.08.23	Cardiff City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.23	Cardiff City - Colchester United	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Championship
06.08.23	Leeds United - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Porto - Cardiff City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
29.12.18	Leicester City - Cardiff City	0:1
03.11.18	Cardiff City - Leicester City	0:1
English League Championship
12.03.13	Cardiff City - Leicester City	1:1
22.12.12	Leicester City - Cardiff City	0:1
11.02.12	Leicester City - Cardiff City	2:1

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