Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 42

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)


	Birmingham City		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2
	1.88	3.5	4.2
	1.92	3.44	4.12	Watch
	1.93	3.64	4.3
	1.9	3.64	4.25
	1.91	3.4	4
	1.91	3.55	4.07	Watch
	1.91	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	4.16 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
50%

Draw
27%

Cardiff City
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.8%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.9%	34.1%	22%

Birmingham City - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 18 - 43.9%). Cardiff will win (votes: 9 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 34.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 28.7% – 59.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ruddy J. (G) 2. Laird E. 44. Aiwu E. 5. Sanderson D. (C) 3. Buchanan L. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 6. Bielik K. 11. Miyoshi K. 19. James J. 7. Bacuna J. 28. Stansfield J.	1. Horvath E. (G) 38. Ng P. 12. Phillips N. 4. Goutas D. 17. Collins J. 14. Bowler J. 8. Ralls J. (C) 23. Siopis M. 16. Grant K. 10. Ramsey A. 22. Meite Y.
Substitutes
14. Anderson K. 16. Dozzell A. 12. Drameh C. 1. Etheridge N. (G) 20. Gardner G. 9. Hogan S. 29. Pritchard A. 8. Roberts T. 34. Sunjic I.	45. Ashford C. 34. Colwill J. 27. Colwill R. 20. Diedhiou F. 19. Sawyers R. 32. Tanner O. 15. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Rowett G.	Bulut E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramsey A. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
47', Ng P. 🟨,
54', Bielik K. 🟨,
58', Bowler J. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Bowler J. ⚽, Colwill R. (A),
70', Miyoshi K. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
70', Buchanan L. ↓, Drameh C. ↑,
70', James J. ↓, Pritchard A. ↑,
71', Bowler J. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
72', Meite Y. ↓, Diedhiou F. ↑,
73', Ralls J. 🟨,
79', Bielik K. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
81', Ralls J. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
86', Bacuna J. ↓, Gardner G. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1.

Birmingham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cardiff is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

There will not play in Birmingham: Chang A. (Knee Injury) Jutkiewicz L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Knock) Colwill R. (Ankle Injury) Etete K. (Leg Injury) McGuinness M. (Muscle Injury) O'Dowda C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Roberts M. (Knock)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 17-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
06.04.24	Leicester City - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Birmingham City - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
29.03.24	Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Birmingham City - Watford	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
06.04.24	Cardiff City - Hull City	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Coventry City - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Cardiff City - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Swansea City - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Cardiff City - Ipswich Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.12.23	Cardiff City - Birmingham City	0:1
English League Cup
29.08.23	Birmingham City - Cardiff City	1:3
English League Championship
14.02.23	Birmingham City - Cardiff City	0:2
13.08.22	Cardiff City - Birmingham City	1:0
30.04.22	Cardiff City - Birmingham City	1:1
11.12.21	Birmingham City - Cardiff City	2:2
01.05.21	Birmingham City - Cardiff City	0:4

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