Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 26

Date: 24 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Ipswich Town		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.5	17
	1.19	6.75	14.5
	1.2	6.5	14.5
	1.18	6.4	14
	1.19	7.02	16.38
	1.2	6	15
	1.21	6.9	15.5	Watch
	1.18	6.6	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.21)	6.58 ↑ (6.18)	15.11 ↑ (13.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
79.4%

Draw
14.4%

Morecambe
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.7%

15.2%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	16.7%	22.2%

Ipswich Town - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Morecambe will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Ipswich has the most likely position - 3 (25.12%), has project points - 85, has currently - 51, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (67%), has a chance of promoted (40%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Morecambe has the most likely position - 21 (15.61%), has project points - 47, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 22, importance 49, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ipswich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ipswich is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League One
21.01.23	Oxford United - Ipswich Town	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Ipswich Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Ipswich Town - Rotherham United	4:1 ✺
English League One
02.01.23	Lincoln City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
29.12.22	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWTT
- Morecambe
English League One
07.01.23	Morecambe - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
01.01.23	Morecambe - Burton Albion	5:0 ✺
29.12.22	Morecambe - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Port Vale - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
17.12.22	Plymouth Argyle - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
08.10.22	Morecambe - Ipswich Town	1:2
26.02.22	Morecambe - Ipswich Town	1:1
07.08.21	Ipswich Town - Morecambe	2:2

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